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    Bain for Dummies

    Over the past week much of our national media, especially the national pundit corps, was consumed with two questions: Was the attack about when Mitt Romney left Bain Capital fair? and Would Romney choose Condoleeza Rice as his running mate? These are both silly questions. The correct answers are, "Yup," and "Of course not." That part of the press corps took the second question seriously at all, even for one day, shows how disconnected they are from reality. Their chatter about the Bain question is just as clueless.

    The question many pundits asked themselves was whether it was accurate to claim that Romney did not leave Bain Capital in 1999, just because he was listed in SEC filings as the company's  "CEO, Chairman, President and sole stockholder" for another three years? Pundits asked themselves this question because only pundits would not know the answer. Of course, they also asked a number of GOP sources, for balance's sake.

    The "Is it fair?" question follows the earlier concern-troll version of the question, "Will attacks on Romney over Bain backfire?" (In fact, you still get some of that.) That question, too, defies and denies the obvious. Mitt Romney has run against a Democratic opponent in exactly two elections. The Democrat who hit him on Bain, hard and early, beat him comfortably. That isn't the whole story of either election. But what part of that record says going after the Romney's work at Bain is a bad strategy?

    The argument for the "fairness" of the attacks is on a complete lack of perspective. It takes for granted that what is "fair" is what is considered normal within a tiny sliver of America: the wealthiest and most powerful sliver. Romney's Bain arrangements between 1999 and 2002 were within accepted business practices among high-flying financiers. They were vetted by lawyers, and involved legal fictions that have become standard in Romney's slice of the business and social worlds. And so to people who are accustomed to moving in those worlds questioning Romney's complicated but perfectly routine and legally-vetted relationship to Bain seems somewhere between impolite and outrageous.

    But if you have reached the point where being "on leave," and CEO, and sole stockholder, and drawing a $100,000 salary, and having nothing to do with the operations of the business that pays you to be CEO, all seems normal to you, you are in the bubble. Part of the problem is that you have lost any sense of how most Americans would view these arrangements, and indeed any sense that the rest of the country does not share the perspective of private-equity managers or publishers of major newspapers. You have lost the basic understanding that your particular world view might not be shared by the whole universe.

    Only someone in the bubble, for example, would think of Condi Rice as a great running mate. As hilarious as it would be to see Mitt Romney paired with someone stiffer and less natural on the campaign trail, it will never happen. There's a reason that Rice has always been appointed to office, and not elected. That reason is Condoleeza Rice. If you're used to seeing Rice on her home court, at Georgetown social events or government functions or press availabilities, you could lose sight of some basic things about her, like the stiffness. You might "realize", having spent more time around her, that she's not as stiff as she looks. But this "realization" is an illusion fostered by proximity, and only the tiny segment of the population that's spent a lot of time around Condoleeza Rice could fall prey to it. Seen from further away, Rice is revealed to be even stiffer than she initially looks, which is impressive. Also, seen from a greater distance, she looks uncannily like someone who downgraded the priority of fighting Al-Qaeda and then signed off on a disastrous and unpopular war, because that's who she is.  You can't send her to the Iowa State Fair and have her shake swing voters' hands. You also can't have her debate Joe Biden, who was in the War Room when bin Laden was killed. Either would be a disaster. If you can't see those things about her, the problem is that you're too close. You have lost perspective.

    And once you lose touch with the fact that not everyone sees the world the way the people immediately around you do, you start to lose touch with basic reality. You can begin to accept absurd things as perfectly normal. You become unable to hear how silly, and how transparently dishonest, a phrase like "retired retroactively" sounds. Or, like Bob Woodward, you can go on Meet the Press and declare that "everyone knows that SEC filings are meaningless." That statement only makes any kind of sense at all if you have a very restricted sense of who "everyone" is. But the bigger problem is that if "everyone" knows SEC documents are just nonsense, then "everyone" has lost touch with basic moral realities. "Everyone" is corrupt and doesn't know it.

    But once you get your head far enough outside the bubble to notice why saying "retroactively retired" insults other people's intelligence (if not your own), you might start to notice some other very strange things that are invisible inside the bubble.

    For example, four years after crisis in the financial sector threw the country into this massive recession, the Republicans have nominated a guy from the financial sector for President. He claims that he can make everything okay again, by going back to the old policies from before 2008.

    That may not sound odd to our investor class, or our politicians, or our mainstream journalists. But actually, it's really odd.

    Not seeing why Bain is a problem is part of not seeing why nominating Romney was a problem in the first place. Not seeing why Romney is a problem is part of not seeing what's wrong with our financial class or our economy. And many influential people in our country are deeply committed to not seeing those things.

    They are committed to not seeing why even modest new financial regulations are necessary. They are commttted to not seeing that the banking sector needs reform. They are committed to not understanding why Obama has been "so hard" on Wall Street, let alone seeing how soft Obama has actually been on Wall Street. They are committed, God help us, to not seeing why years of high unemployment would be bad for the economy. They are committed to not seeing even the most obvious solutions to America's economic problems, because they are passionately committed to not seeing the problems.

    This election isn't just about America's future, and its economy, and basic questions of fairness and the American dream, although it's about all those things too. This election is about something even bigger than that: the reality principle. The next four months are going to be a bitter, dogged campaign to break down our ruling class's fundamental disconnection from real world. They aren't going to like it.  Not one bit. And that's why they're so upset over the Bain Capital attacks: because those attacks are true. And once this election begins to be about the truth, the truth is really, really going to start to hurt.

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    ...four years after crisis in the financial sector threw the country into this massive recession, the Republicans have nominated a guy from the financial sector for President. He claims that he can make everything okay again, by going back to the old policies from before 2008.

    Excellent, D. Rehm had a show in a similar vein with Jeff Faux, who talked about his book "The Servant Economy, Where America's Elite is Sending the Middle Class". On the book:

    ...things are still pretty great for the people who run America. It was an accident of history, Jeff Faux explains, that after World War II the U.S. could afford a prosperous middle class, a dominant military, and a booming economic elite at the same time. For the past three decades, all three have been competing, with the middle class always losing. Soon the military will decline as well.

    Diane Rehm Show link. A few of the main points discussed:

    a. Corporations and investors like Bain no longer need an American middle class to profit, as they did in the days when Henry Ford increased pay for his workers to $5/day over the howls from fat cats on Wall Street. Profits are often from global operations.

    b. Big businesses often no longer need either improved US infrastructure, or do they want to pay taxes for it. They also don't need educated workers who can be had on the cheap overseas.

    c. Two earner households and easy credit propped up the economy for the last 30 years. Both are either maxed out or not there anymore.

    d. As productivity and earnings have flowed to the top, more than ever big money, and unrestricted secret campaign spending control  politics and the government.

    e. only government policy including 'hard' regulation, increased taxes on short term speculators, and decreased participation of the finance sector in the economy, and less money in politics, can preserve the middle class.


    That sounds interesting, and fairly apt. I like Rehm, even though she always sounds close to keeling over.


    Spasmodic dysphonia.


    Coincidentally,  just read about that condition today: http://www.dilbert.com/blog/entry/larry_pages_voice_problem/


    I listened to that show. It was fascinating and depressing. And everything he says is happening was pretty much 100% predictable from at least the late 1980s. One problem is, as he frames it, that Americans stopped caring about planning for the future when Ronald Regan told them it was okay to stop caring about the future. Now, the future is here and we're pretty much screwed. 


    Whoops! 


    Republicans long range plans for the country never extend beyond 2 years, the next election. Often, as recently with the budget and federal debt, or with Mitt and his position on issues, things change by the hour.

    60 million of more voters (see below) can't or won't remember what happened last year or last week, although their ability to recall in detail the supposed crimes of Bill Clinton may have no time limit. For millions, memory and comprehension don't encompass much more than a bumper sticker slogan, or a 30 second attack ad loaded with untruths, funded by undisclosed tens of millions from wealthy contributors who hire guys like Rove who know how to push buttons and exploit prejudice. That huge block of ignorance and bias, and the money necessary to get votes, are a huge hurdle to deal with and overcome by Obama, or any politician trying to move the nation forward and solve major issues.


    You've put it very well, Doc. I suspect that the Green Party would say that the Democrats are also in the bubble, though I suspect most of us are in some sort of bubble.


    Well, I think everyone has a bubble of some kind. The two questions are whether you *try* to see outside it and whether you have the luxury of *not* trying. The upper class doesn't have to consider other perspectives if it doesn't want to, although that will burn it in the long term.

    I think the Obama Administration has been too influenced by the investor class's perspective, sometimes in ways that are not realistic. My primary hope is that Wall Street's intransigence will push Obama into having to be harder on them. And of course, the Green Party has a different kind of bubble, and can seem completely divorced from the perspective of, say, 99.5% of the voters, or the basic realities of what can actually be accomplished at any given moment.


    Great post, Doc. Really enjoyed reading it. Bloomberg Radio had Glenn Hubbard on this morning, supposedly to present the real solutions which Romney is offering. Hubbard's comments were so non-specific and old Republican style jargon that it's hard to understand how he imagines he has not embarrassed himself. I'd not be surprised if he were shunned at meetings around Columbia.

    But the general guest on Bloomberg, and of course on CNBC, are either dumb or don't care about what needs to change in this country to get the middle class growing again. All they see are the financial industry constructs which have been in place for at least thirty years. They are in a bubble---perfectly described, and perfectly demonstrated if you listen to them for more than 30 seconds.

    James Carville was asked about the Bain arguments and said, "I really don't care. Bain has been defined." I'm not sure I would go that far, but the defensiveness of Romney and surrogates and their increasingly stupid press comments certainly suggests they have been taken by surprise. And surprise is too uncharacteristic of Republicans to be based on other, as you say, than stupidity inside a bubble.  


    Well argued, Doc.  And, of course, you're right.  The Republicans don't see the problem with nominating Romney and I don't think that most Democrats do either.  Our team has its share of Romney types on it, for sure.  Steve Rattner's done everything Mitt's done, just not quite as well.  The difference is that Rattner knows that the people would never elect him while Romney persists in what Woody Allen once called "the opposite of paranoia," which he defined as "the insane delusion that people like him."


    Really really good read.  Thanks so much.


    I get why Bain is a problem, and why Romney is the wrong guy, and that most of the upper class can't get it. But there's another, different difficulty - much though I enjoy kicking Romney in the nads. You see...

    Four years after the crisis in the financial sector threw the country into this massive recession, the Democrats will nominate the guy who bailed out, favored and protected the financial sector for President. He claims that he can make everything okay again, by going back to the old policies from before 2008.

    That may not sound odd to our investor class, or our politicians, or our mainstream journalists, or many Democratic voters. But actually, it's really odd.

    Not seeing why favoring the financial sector is a problem is part of not seeing why nominating Obama is a problem in the first place. Not seeing why Obama is a problem is part of not seeing what's wrong with our financial class or our economy....

    The ruling class is committed to not seeing why even modest new financial regulations are necessary. They are committed to not seeing that the banking sector needs reform. They are committed to not understanding why Obama has been "so hard" on Wall Street, let alone seeing how soft Obama has actually been on Wall Street....

    But this election is about something even bigger than that: the reality principle. The next four months are going to appear to be a bitter, dogged campaign to break down our ruling class's fundamental disconnection from real world. The illusion this attack on the ruling class is meant to generate in the minds of the American middle and working class is that the ruling class doesn't like it. When the reality is that they couldn't give a shit, because one of their guys gets in either way. But they're gonna make noise about the Bain Capital attacks: because they know that's how you negotiate, that's how you do politics. But once this election is over, the truth will still be that.... the ruling class won.

    And the truth hurts.


    It's odder that Sarah Palin didn't run for Prez, as Republicans and 60 million mericans voted that she was the best to run the country a heartbeat away, and was really real connected to the real world.


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