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    Punishment or Pushback: Financial Regulation in the Midst of Recession

     


     

                Nearly one American in two is currently “financially fragile” – unable, that is, to come up with $2000 dollars in 30 days to deal with an unexpected emergency.[1] That fragility presumably does not stretch out to the fortunate few employed by Goldman Sachs, collectively the recipients of the reportedly $15.4 billion set aside by the Wall Street giant for the payment of bonuses at the end of 2010.[2] Fifteen point four billion dollars averages out at $435,000 per Goldman Sachs employee: in a year in which, far away from Wall Street, one million homes were foreclosed[3] and 15 million Americans went without employment, let alone bonuses.[4] While mainstream America continues to struggle with the recessionary consequences of a meltdown caused by financial excess, large financial institutions have left that struggle far behind. They are back to profitability and back to their old ways. Senior bankers are making money again while the rest of us are not.[5]

     

                There was a time, not so very long ago, when things were otherwise: when leading Wall Street players publicly conceded (and indeed apologized for) the causal role played by their institutions in the financial meltdown of 2008. There was a time when the energies of Congress were accordingly focused on the creation of stronger regulatory structures designed to block a repetition of that meltdown. There was even a time when some of the minor players in the debacle of 2008 found themselves in court, charged with fraud. But those apologies were brief. The new regulatory structures were born flawed; [6] and the few prosecutions failed to deliver.[7] To a truly remarkable degree, given the scale and longevity of the damage they have caused, the guilty have escaped unpunished from the financial crisis of 2008, as Washington has turned its attention elsewhere, in the process allowing bank lobbyists to water down even the modest reforms imposed at the height of the crisis. Washington, that is, except Carl Levin and his subcommittee. Their Wall Street and the Financial Crisis report[8] deserves to be compulsory reading for every concerned citizen, for it reaffirms what we already knew – that regulation and even punishment, certainly not pushback, remains essential if the practices which generated such economic havoc and social misery in 2008 are not eventually to do the same again on an even grander scale.

     

                A little recap would not go amiss, given the amount of money, energy and argumentation now flowing into the weakening of new regulatory constraints on the behavior of leading U.S. financial institutions.

     

    1. Lest we forget, remember this. The credit crisis of 2008 was caused by inadequately-regulated and over-confident U.S. financial institutions, within which there were serious lapses of accountability and ethics. This is the well-established conclusion of a welter of both academic and journalistic reports on the events and processes leading up to the collapse of Lehmann Brothers in September 2008, and the subsequent financial meltdown.[9] The credit crisis was the product of recklessness, corruption, managerial failure, greed and arrogance – in what Michael Mayo called “an industry on steroids.”[10] That is also the conclusion reached by the subpoena-empowered Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in its January 2011 report. Among the Commission’s findings were these: that “widespread failures in financial regulation and supervision proved devastating to the stability of the nation’s financial markets;” that “dramatic failures of corporate governance and risk management at many systemically important financial institutions were a key cause of this crisis;” and that “a combination of excessive borrowing, risky investments, and lack of transparency put the financial system on a collision course with crisis.”[11]

     

    1. To prevent an even deeper crisis, leading financial institutions received huge amounts of taxpayer and Federal Reserve support, without which many of them would undoubtedly have folded. We now know, because of Bernie Sanders’ diligence, that in addition to TARP money Goldman Sachs received nearly $600 billion in loans and other financial aid from the Federal Reserve in the wake of the crisis, “Morgan Stanley…received nearly $2 trillion, Citigroup…$1.8 trillion, Bear Stearns…$1 trillion, and Merrill Lynch…some $1.5 trillion in short term loans from the Fed.”[12]  Even hedge fund giants like John Paulson apparently “took their cut of the Fed’s emergency cash.”[13] But though rapidly saved in this fashion by this staggering volume of tax-payer dollars and Fed loans, the big six financial institutions now sitting astride Wall Street – Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo – failed miserably to pass on their good fortune with equal speed to either struggling small banks[14] or to a Main Street suddenly bereft of available credit.[15]

     

    1. The fallout from the crisis created by bad financial practices continues unabated: primarily in the form of extensive job loss, unprecedented levels of home foreclosure, and now serious cuts in state-level public services. As Simon Johnson has recently noted, “employment remains more than 5 percent below its pre-crisis peak, millions of homeowners are still underwater on their mortgages, and the negative fiscal consequences at national, state and local level – remain profound.”[16] Indeed we may be facing such a prolonged recession as a result of the 2008 financial collapse as to effectively lose a whole decade, even perhaps a whole generation. Certainly there are disturbing signs in the wind of new and awesome problems ahead: not least persistent and unexpected unemployment among the estimated 85 percent of the 2 million new college graduates likely to return home in 2011 for want of adequate work![17]

     

    1. Bankers did initially concede responsibility and invite some degree of regulatory reform. Bank of America chief executive and president Brian Moynihan told the opening session of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission that “over the crisis, we as an industry caused a lot of damage;” and JP Morgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon admitted before the same body that “we did make mistakes and there were things we could have done better.”[18] Appearing before a parliamentary committee in London a month later, the former chairman of HBOS made similar concessions, saying that he was “profoundly and unreservedly sorry.” John Mack of Morgan Stanley even called the crisis “a profound wake up call for [his] firm;” and all four bankers appearing before the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission declared their willingness to co-operate with tighter oversight while indicating their fear that such oversight might become excessive. It didn’t last of course. By the time of the next Davos conference, Jamie Dimon for one was already condemning ‘the incessant broad-based vilification of the banking industry” as both unfair and damaging. Fortunately for the rest of us, the French President did not agree, reminding the American banker that “the world has paid with tens of millions of unemployed, who were in no way to blame and who paid for everything."[19] Nicholas Sarkozy had a point.

     

    1. The appropriateness of that admission of responsibility was confirmed by later bipartisan investigatory panels, particularly Carl Levin’s. The suspicion that even major players in the industry misbehaved prior to the crisis is now evident for all to see from the evidence presented in the Levin report. As the Senator put it, the investigation of his sub-committee found a “financial snake pit rife with greed, conflicts of interest, and wrong doing.”[20] And not just the Democratic Senator. His Republican counterpart was equally blunt. “Blame for this mess lies everywhere,” the ultra-conservative Tom Coburn said when sitting alongside Levin, “from federal regulators who cast a blind eye, Wall Street bankers who let greed run wild, and members of Congress who failed to provide oversight….It shows without a doubt the lack of ethics in some of our financial institutions who embraced known conflicts of interest to accomplish wealth for themselves, not caring about the outcome for their customers.”[21]Goldman Sachs (for their marketing practices), and Standard & Poor’s (for the inadequacy of their credit rating), were both heavily censored in the Levin report. The Subcommittee found no less than 12 Goldman Sachs’ practices that raised conflict of interests concerns: criticizing the company for designing, marketing and selling “CDOs in ways that created conflicts of interest with the firm’s clients and at times led to the bank’s profiting from the same products that caused substantial losses for its clients.”[22]

     

                The logical outcome of these five unassailable truths would, in an entirely sane world, presumably be the extensive re-regulation of the entire financial sector and the punishment of the guilty among the financial elite; and there is some slow momentum building for at least a degree of punishment. Many of the main players have already slipped through the judicial net. Individuals like Angelo Mozilo, who agreed in October 2010 to pay $67.5 million to settle insider trading and other charges brought by the Securities and Exchange Commission.[23] Institutions like Citigroup, which paid $75 million in July 2010 to settle civil fraud charges filed by the SEC; or Goldman Sachs, who settled with the SEC that same month for $550 million.[24]  (Two top Citigroup executives settled separately with the SEC that July, paying $100,000 and $80,000 respectively.[25]) But at last the net seems to be tightening slightly. The FDIC has reportedly filed suit to recover $900 million in damages from three former executives of Washington Mutual,[26] and is said to be conducting at least 50 criminal investigations of former senior figures in banks that have failed.[27] Carl Levin, for his part, has referred the evidence given to his subcommittee by Goldman Sachs executives (including by its CEO) to the Justice Department for possible criminal prosecution; Attorney Generals in Nevada and Arizona have filed suit against Bank of America for dubious lending procedures in the housing market; a coalition of 50 state attorney generals is gearing up to do the same; and New York’s Attorney General has called in documents on mortgage operations during the housing bubble from major financial institutions that include Bank of America and Morgan Stanley.[28]

     

                However, don’t hold your breath. American justice grinds mighty slow when it is the mighty who are being called to justice. The initial anger – in Washington and beyond – against bank excess has now largely dissipated, and lobby spending by financial institutions has accordingly grown of late, as the battle over regulatory details has shifted away from Congress and back into the regulatory agencies themselves.[29] There was significant pushback against reform even before the passage of the Dodd-Frank Act[30] – pushback that left gaps in the new regulatory structures through which old forms of financial malpractice could and do continue to slip: pushback that ensured that there would be no impenetrable wall between commercial and investment banking, no watertight limit on the size of financial institutions, and an indeterminate amount of derivative trading still exempt from the new regulations.[31](The formulation of those was left to the CFTC, where partisan infighting recently eroded the potency of the new regulatory codes still further[32]). Tighter regulation in the wake of the Act is accordingly proving more difficult than was originally hoped: partly due to the difficulty of getting Congressional clearance for Obama appointees, partly because of the sheer complexity of the practices being regulated, and partly because of resistance from large institutions and their lobbyists.

     

                 The new Republican majority in the House of Representatives is an additional thorn in the side of this tighter regulation: with the Tea Party-inspired legislators persistently underfunding (or attempting to defund) regulatory agencies, introducing bills to slow down or eviscerate the Dodd-Frank Act, and waging a particularly focused war on the new Consumer Financial Agency and its erstwhile head, Elizabeth Warren. Even the Obama administration is now apparently planning to exempt certain foreign exchange derivatives from regulations mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act.[33] Meanwhile, old practices are up and running again, as though they had made no contribution to our present malaise. The board of Citigroup awarded its CEO a base salary of $1.75 million for 2011. Bank of America paid its CEO $10.2 million in 2010, as JPMorgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon earned $23.6 million. Even the credit agencies, so defective in the run up to the crisis, are full of self-confidence again. Standard and Poor’s chose to warn in April of a potential downgrade to the credit rating of  the United States, a downgrade directly linked to public borrowing made necessary by the recession that  inadequate credit rating had helped trigger less than 3 years before! Standard & Poor’s, the very company on which in that same month the Levin-Coburn report had laid prime responsibility for triggering the financial meltdown (through their and Moody’s July 2007 mass downgrading of mortgage-backed securities hitherto rated AAA). It takes some nerve to be simultaneously so criticized and so critical, but Standard and Poor’s clearly have those kinds of nerves!

     

                Richard Eskow complained in 2010 that “a banker can’t get arrested in this town.”[34] Well, perhaps it’s time that they could. In Iceland, in Germany and even in the UK, delinquent bankers occasionally end up in court, sometimes in jail, even expelled from the industry because of their malpractice. But not here, not this time, not yet (unlike in the earlier S&L crisis, when more than a thousand bankers were jailed[35]). As a whole string of commentators (including Richard Eskow, Matt Taibbi,[36] Les Leopold[37] and Joshua Holland[38]) have recently argued, it is surely time to call our bankers to account. Time because of justice; time because of the sufferings of others; time because only by calling delinquent bankers to account can we ever hope to prevent them dragging us all down again into a crisis and a recession of which we would be innocent, and which would be entirely of their making.

     

    First posted at www.davidcoates.net

    Making the Progressive Case, on which this op-ed is based, will be published by Continuum Books on June 9th

     



    [1] Annamaria Lusardi, Daniel Schneider and Peter Tufano, Financially Fragile Households: Evidence and Implications, NBER Working Paper 17072, May 2011: available at http://www.nber.org/authors/annamaria_lusardi

     

    [2] Andrew Clark, “Goldman Sachs in the firing line over predicted $15.4bn wage bill,” The Observer, January 16, 2011

     

    [5] Hedge funds even more than banks – see James Mackintosh, “Top 10 hedge funds eclipse banks with profits of $28bn for clients,” The Financial Times, March 2, 2011

     

    [6] Robert Reich, The New Finance Bill: A Mountain of Legislative Paper, A Molehill of Reform, posted on The Huffington Post, July 16, 2010: available at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-reich/the-new-finance-bill-a-mo_b_649156.html. Also http://www.davidcoates.net/2010/06/29/building-walls-or-designing-colanders-legislative-change-in-the-wake-of-the-financial-tsunami/

     

    [7] Thomas Catan & Amir Efrati, “A Set of Scribbled Notes Helped Scuttle the Federal Probe of AIG,” The Wall Street Journal, July 23, 2010: available at http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704229004575371272225626284.html

     

    [9] Surveyed in Appendix 1 of  David Coates, Making the Progressive Case, New York: Continuum Books, 2011

     

    [11] The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission: Inquiry Report, Washington DC: Official Government Edition, January 2011, pp. xviii-xix

     

    [12] Senator Bernie Sanders, A Real Jaw Dropper at the Federal Reserve, posted on The Huffington Post, December 2, 2010: available at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/rep-bernie-sanders/a-real-jaw-dropper-at-the_b_791091.html

     

    [13] Dominic Rushe, “How hedge funds and billionaires took their cut of the Fed’s emergency cash,” The Guardian, December 5, 2010

     

    [14] On the state of the small banking sector, see William Alden, Small Banks Suffer, As Banking Industry Strengthens, posted on The Huffington Post, November 24, 2010: available at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/24/small-banks_n_787975.html

     

    [15] Lending to small companies by major banks only began to inch up in the last quarter of 2010. Details in Ruth Simon, “Banks Open Loan Spigot,” The Wall Street Journal, December 30 2010

     

    [16] Simon Johnson, A Healthy Financial system Cannot be Built on the Expectation of Bailouts, posted on The Huffington post, March 5, 2011: available at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/simon-johnson/a-healthy-financial-syste_b_831844.html

     

    [17] Amanda Fairbanks, Moving Home: When College Grads Face Uncertain Futures, posted on The Huffington Post, May 24 2011: available at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/24/moving-home-college-graduates-jobs_n_865623.html

     

    [18] Jim Kuhnhenn and Daniel Wagner, Bankers apologize for actions that led to crisis: available at http://www.heraldsun.com/view/full_story/5547488/article-Bankers-apologize-for-actions-that-led-to-crisis

     

    [20] Willian Alden & Shahien Nasiripour, Goldman Sachs Chief Blankfein Could Face Criminal Prosecution For Role in Financial Crisis, posted on The Huffington Post  April 14, 2011: available at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/04/14/goldman-financial-crisis-prosecution_n_848994.html

     

    [21] Tim Drawbaugh, Senate panel slams Goldman in scathing crisis report, posted on TPM April 13, 2011: available at http://money.msn.com/business-news/article.aspx?feed=OBR&date=20110413&id=13307882

     

    [22] The report, pp. 602-3, and 8

     

    [23] Gretchen Morgenson, “Lending Magnate Settles Fraud Case,” The New York Times, October 15, 2010

     

    [24] Details in Richard Sauer, “Wall Street Still Doesn’t Have a Sheriff,” The New York Times, July 25, 2010

     

    [25] Details in Randall Smith and Matthias Riekker, “Citi Pays for Subprime Feint,” The Wall Street Journal, July 30, 2010

     

    [26]  Details in Suzanne Kapner, “FDIC files $900m in WaMu lawsuit,” The Financial Times, March 18, 2011

     

    [27] Details in Jean Eaglesham, “U.S. Sets 50 Bank Probes,” The Wall Street Journal, November 17, 2010

     

    [28] Details in Dominic Rushe, “Wall Street banks under scrutiny over mortgage loan packaging,” The Guardian, May 17, 2011

     

    [29] Christine Harper, “Out of Lehman’s ashes Wall Street gets most of what it wants,” The Washington Post, December 28, 2010.

     

    [30] For the detail, see Daniel Carpenter, “The Contest of Lobbies and Disciplines: Financial Politics and Regulatory Reform in the Obama Administration,” prepared for the Working Group on Obama’s Agenda and the Dynamics of U.S. Politics: now in Lawrence Jacobs and Theda Skocpol, eds, Reaching for a New Deal: President Obama's Agenda and the Dynamics of U.S. Politics, (New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2010).

     

    [31] For details, see Harper, op.cit. 36

     

    [32] Details at Jeffrey Sparshott, “CFTC Vote on Trading Curbs Stall,” The Wall Street Journal, December 17, 2010

     

    [33] “Mr. Geitner’s Loophole,” editorial, The New York Times, April 30, 2011

     

    [37] Les Leopold, How Wall Street Thieves, Led by Goldman Sachs, Took Down the Global Economy…posted on Alternet.org April 25, 2011: available at http://www.alternet.org/story/150741

     

    [38] Joshua Holland, Seriously, Jail the Bankers or This Economy Will Never Fully Recover, posted on Alternet.org November 17, 2010: available at http://www.alternet.org/story/148882

    Comments

    I just wanted to let you know, I  enjoy your work and the effort you put into it.


    As do I.


    To Resistance

    Thank you!  Very kind of you to take the time to say.

    David


    Gillian Tett in the FT a couple of months ago.

    Why have so few bankers gone to jail in the wake of the financial crisis…Why….  Bernard Madoff (is) now sitting in jail, while all those faceless people who conjured up subprime loans or dodgy .collateralized debt obligations are not?

    ……To be sure the financial industry is dangerously powerful; and some bankers have behaved in ways that were immoral. But whether (they) have actually broken the law is less clear cut.

    If you look closely at those clever financial products that were conjured up……..a defining feature was that they were intended to exploit loopholes in the legal system. “Innovation” was thus about dancing on the edge of laws, regulations and ratings- but not breaking any rules.

     

    If she's right , AOBTW my guess is that in most cases, she is ,then  punishing bankers  will be self indulgent cruelty.

    But I specify  "in most cases" .implying there are some  guys, and gals, who simply broke the laws. So punishing them would be justified. So should we? Depending on one's particular moral code maybe yes.So be my guest; But don't imagine that any practical benefit will come from it. On the contrary , as with all other punishment the chief effect will be to somewhat degrade the punisher.

    But won't it have at least some deterrent effect? Not when AIG traders could earn a $5million bonuses- at a marginal tax rate  in the low 30s-.for a deal which destroyed their employer.And damn near 21st Century capitalism.

    No businessman has ever been deterred from acting illegally because it would be , ...illegal. Despite the  general  leftish slant of Dagblog  most of the contributors are far too generous in their views of business and businessmen. As I've blogged previously in 40 years in business I never worked for a ceo who was deterred by concern he was acting illegally.  But until Reagan lots were by the fact that the payoff,- after tax- didn't  justify taking a risk that could bankrupt their employer and leave them without a job while they still needed to provide for the rest of their lives..For example ,prior to Reagan those AIG traders would have been left with $500K after tax. Nice but not enough to retire on. Under the post Reagan tax code they were  left with north of  $3 Million and acted accordingly.

    As long as our tax code makes it  worthwhile for  any businessman to take a risk which could destroy his place of employment, he will.

    Ask yourself why this particullar abuse hadn't occured before . Answer:. Wasn't worth it.

    Campaign to bring back the  92% marginal rate say over  $500K and save your energy for other causes. The bankers , conscious of the need  to scrape up Junior's tuition at St. Grarklesex, will go back to being the old fashioned bankers of yore.  Mean as Scrooge and hard as steel  but not so dumb as to put their own money into something like the sub prime bubble.

    .

     

     

     

     


    I'm not much for the style of argument where you say solution X won't totally solve the problem, so let's not do it and just concentrate on solution Y.

    We should put a few bankers in prison for what is patently fraud - the question imho is not whether they did it, nor whether it is illegal, it is as always with organized crime getting the proof the kingpins were involved. Remember how Paulson conducts all business on the phone with no paper trail or notes. That pretty much says it all. As with Capone, you nail them for the smaller side issue but give them the maximum sentence.

    Beyond that, by all means we should raise the marginal tax to Clinton levels as seems the plan, regulate bonuses as in the UK and Switzerland, reintroduce a modern Glass Steagal like the Swiss are in the process of doing and hike capital buffers.

    None of those is a cure-all on its own, but some combination of strong measures will do.


    Nothing will make businessmen honest. Putting a few of them in jail. pour encourager les autres  will leave us with exactly the same problems plus a few businessmen in jail. And under some moral heirarchy not the worst ones..

    If you assume that self interest is the most powerful motivator ,the one ,and the only one,  that will reliably cause superior individuals to work an 80 hour week and sacrifice crucial personal relationships, it follows that sooner or later  it will cause them to break laws.When the game is worth the candle. At first perhaps rationalizing that  they are only violating an unrealistic  regulation undemocratically arrived at .But only at first. Then it becomes routine.

    In a world in which all the most powerful players disregard the laws, imprisoning  a tiny minority  will cause the rest to sigh with relief the proles have got that out of their system without doing any real damage- maybe even provided an assist by removing a competitor.

    BTW my idea of a marginal rate is not Clinton's 38% but Nixon's 90. 

     


    Reread.

    I'm saying a number of different achievable measures - judicial, regulatory, tax system - together are sufficient.

    90% marginal rate, wonderful idea. Just as would be a hyper-invasive SEC. But neither is sufficient, neither is necessary. And neither is going to happen.

    So in a real world you do what is possible and doable and sufficient.

    I know you really want to keep your fellow fortune 500 CFO's out of jail and all, cuz y'all never do anything illegal, but it's just a losing line of argument you have going here.


    I believe it's more likely that a Fortune 500 CEO has broken the law than a CFO has. Mostly the CFO's can achieve the result that's wanted without acting illegally. The secret is to read the Accounting Principles the way that  Alioto reads the Constitution. i.e. you come to a conclusion first and then cobble together some words to support it.There was a good New Yorker cartoon showing a suit introducing someone to a group, saying " And Bill ,here, will be in charge of calculating our profits according to-heh ,heh - generally accepted accounting principles."

    It's somewhat different for the CEO. .He's selected by the board with the understanding that he'll violate regs when he needs to- and will keep them in the dark.

    Part of corporate america's intense public opposition to regulations is running interference so that when their CEO needs to  act illegally he'll be pre sold ondoing so by the propoganda he himself has promulgated.

     

     


    Damn. Your buddy Andrew Fastow should have had you defending him. I'm sure he'd be out of prison by now...


    Nothing new under the sun. Enron like Lehman was "transferring" its losses under a sham contract which got them temporarily off their balance sheet.  This wasn't fixing the problem just buying time. In that respect they were like Madoff  Just hoping the horse would talk.. 

    Some times the animal does.

    A friend was the comptroller of a successful start up which was acquired by a conglomerate.They'd been cooking the books for years which the acquirer quickly found. Whatever the weaknesses of accountants they quickly find financial errors when the client wants them to find financial errors. The exec from the acquirer ( who went on to be the budget director in Washington)called my friend and the CEO in and described what he'd found .Then said: " I know this, you know it, we're the only 3 people in the world who know it and know one else will ever know". The start up CEO left of course and was hired to be CEO of a Fortune 500 company where he was a "darling" of Wall Street because of its "profitable" performance.For a while.

    Took my friend with him.

    There may be law- abiding companies. I just never happened to work for or with any.

     

     

     

     


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