Just for a little bit of comparison...

Note: x-posted from TMP Hive

Here's where we were and where we are...

From: election.princeton.edu/

And here's a good must read from Sam Wang at PEC.

Sometimes life comes at you fast
September 16th, 2016, 7:15am by Sam Wang

National polls currently show Clinton ahead by only 1.0 ± 0.6 % (median ± estimated SEM, 7 pollsters with at least some post-Phlegmghazi respondents). However, our state poll-based analysis moves more slowly. Therefore I expect the Meta-Margin to keep on moving toward Trump for at least a week as state poll medians catch up. To get an idea of where things are headed, see electoral-vote.com, whose main map displays the most recent single poll for each state and therefore is noisier than my calculation – but more up-to-the-moment.

I estimate that if we had up-to-date data in all states, in an election held today the Presidential outcome would be extremely close, approximately like the map below.

For Democrats, it is a good thing that the election is not today. But as Glenn Thrush at POLITICO points out, there are lots of ways for Clinton to recover.

[Read more →]

That is all... It's Friday here.

~OGD~

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