Destor on Ordering a Pizza Conservatively in Texas
Ramona: Hatred in a Lovely Church
Gallup: Obama 46, Romney 46
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Destor on Ordering a Pizza Conservatively in Texas Ramona: Hatred in a Lovely Church Gallup: Obama 46, Romney 46 |
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Barack Obama's decision to join the attack on Libya is very much of a piece with his Nobel Prize acceptance speech. There are various grounds on which a reasonable person could object to the Libya strikes (diplomatic reasons, military reasons, pragmatic reasons, reasons of consistency, even Constitutional reasons). But the decision absolutely fits within a coherent and very traditional moral philosophy. Obama walked through most of the key points of that position in his Nobel Prize speech, with one important omission. That omission is perhaps the key to understanding his conduct as a war leader.
The "just war" position is a theoretical framework dating back to the Roman Empire and elaborated by early Christian thinkers, based on the "necessary evil" or "lesser evil" principle. If choosing the lesser evil sounds like a bad thing to you, let me propose that choosing the greater evil is worse, and that choosing a randomly selected evil is an abdication of morality. (There are those who feel that such an abdication relieves them of responsibility for whatever consequences follow, because they did not positively assent to such consequences. I could not disagree more.) Most Western medicine works on the lesser evil principle: surgery, chemotherapy and radiation treatments all cause you real harm in the best-case scenario and kill you in the worst; they are only worthwhile if they eliminate, or offer a reasonable hope of eliminating, a much worse danger to your health. On the same reasoning, just war views violence as acceptable, under sometimes perhaps obligatory, in order to prevent much worse violence. If someone walks into a workplace with an automatic weapon, a police officer is allowed to shoot that person, and should. If there were a way to disarm the shooter non-violently, that would be preferable, but if there is not, and often there is not, it is better for the shooter to be killed than for many other people to be killed.
The just-war idea should not be confused with the idea of a holy war, which suggests that violence can be redeemed, or even redemptive, if done in the service of one's god or of some other "transcendent" or "noble" belief. Violence is never imagined as a good in itself; it can only ever be an attempt to lessen the overall violence. Neither does just-war theory suggest that violence can be justified by the wickedness of one's opponents. No one can be killed because they are bad people who deserve it. They might justifiably be killed as a last resort attempt to prevent them from doing a very, very bad thing. Muammar Qaddafi was an evil person last year, but that was not a justification for murdering him. He is currently killing and poised to kill many, many people, and if killing him would prevent that it would be extremely defensible from the just-war position. On the other hand, if Qaddafi managed to kill hundreds of thousands of his countrymen and then flee to Geneva and live peacefully, there would no longer be a necessary-evil justification for killing him. (Obviously, there would be reasons to try him, and there might even be coherent moral reasons proposed for executing him, but those are not lesser-evil reasons, because Qaddafi would no longer be a threat to others' lives.)
The Crusades were never imagined or seriously defended as just wars. They were Holy Wars. They were justified not as attempts to prevent worse evils, but as tributes to the glory of God. (Also, they were imagined as good things because Muslims were infidels and therefore The Bad Guys.) These two basic Christian conceptions of war, the Just War and the Crusade, have coexisted in Christian thought for the last thousand years, and occasionally borrowed each other's favorite metaphors, but they are profoundly different. In a crusade model, you commit acts of terrible bloodshed and tell yourself that they are acts of virtue, because your enemies are godless and because you have such good values. In a just war model, you remember that there's no such thing as a good war. There are only bad wars and even worse wars, and the only reason to fight a bad one is to stave off a worse one. War is like amputating a limb to save a patient's life: something to be done in extremis, when other options are gone.
George W. Bush is a Crusader, deep in his bones. His Iraq war flunks every test of a just war, six ways to Sunday. Bush operates out of the Crusade model where violence is absolved and redeemed by its lofty spiritual purpose. Barack Obama operates, mostly, from a Just War position, which is aimed at achieving as much good as practically possible and salvaging what can be salvaged from terrible situations. His Nobel acceptance speech walks through most of the basic conditions of the Just War theory, which follow logically from the underlying "necessary evil" principle.
The first condition of a just war is the magnitude of the evil being prevented. If you're going to fight a war, costing tens and potentially hundreds of thousands of lives, as the lesser evil, the threat of a greater evil has to be pretty huge. You don't amputate a broken arm; you only amputate an arm that will cost the patient his or her life. You don't attack another country over any bad act they've committed; it has to be an attempt to prevent massive bloodshed. There's a traditional self-defense clause here (you can fight an invading army rather than permitting them to kill your fellow citizens), but for third-party interventions there should be a reasonable certainty that many, many, many lives will be lost if you do not intervene. Clinton's interventions in Bosnia and Kosovo followed basically just-war rationales; they were fought to prevent large-scale deaths of civilians in "ethnic cleansing."
In the Libya case, it's very clear that Qaddafi intends to massacre large numbers of civilians for resisting his rule. That's a very reasonable justification for the rebels' armed resistance to him, and by extension for assisting those rebels.
The second condition is that the violence used be proportionate. You don't stop bloodshed by committing vastly more bloodshed. If they only way you can prevent the deaths of thousands of innocents is killing millions of innocents, there's really no way to say that you're choosing the lesser evil. You can't destroy the village in order to save it. You might be able to destroy a few houses in order to save it, but if you're going to do more damage than you prevent, you've lost your way. A related concept should be that the military conduct must discriminate between the enemy soldiers and the civilians who the war is meant to protect. A just war can only be just if it kills as few civilians as possible. Disproportionate and indiscriminate violence takes away any rationalization for a just war. There is no moral point to killing a bunch of unarmed civilians. You can't say they're better off. You can't justify killing them as an attempt to minimize bloodshed.
How Obama passes this test in Libya will be seen on the field, and it can be murky. But leveling Tripoli would be completely unjustifiable. And the American habit of using guided ordinance shows a simultaneous embrace of the "proportionate and discriminate" principle and failure to execute it. It's true that many of our weapons can be guided fairly precisely, but our dependence upon air power, cruise missiles, and predator drones also leads to inevitable civilian casualties.
Perhaps most importantly, a just war is a last resort. It's not okay to kill a lot of people because you're preventing even more death and violence. It's only acceptable to kill a lot of people because it is the only possible way to prevent even more death and violence. If you have another option for averting the violence, you should take it. You must take it.
Part of the last resort condition of imminence. War can only be justified if there is genuinely no time for any other kind of interference. You can't attack a country to stop them from massacring an ethnic minority someday. You can only attack a country to stop a massacre that's already getting underway. This is also logical ... the longer the time scale, the more chances you have to prevent the violence by peaceful means. This is why a police officer is authorized to kill a person who is committing a crime, and not someone who is merely likely to commit a felony someday. It's also why the "weapons of mass destruction" argument for the Iraq war, even if the weapons program had been underway, was not legitimate in just-war theory; even if Saddam Hussein had a weapons program, it was very clear that he was nowhere near completing, say, an atomic bomb, and therefore there were many different options for forestalling and preventing any such bomb. You don't get to bomb a country because you don't have the patience for sanctions and inspections. You only have a legitimate cause to bomb when it is genuinely now or never.
Whatever else is happening in Libya, it's happening in real time, and any intervention had to be timely. The regime is killing people right now. You can't save those people with six months of patient diplomacy; they will be dead by then.
The final major condition for a just war is realistic likelihood of success. This sounds like a practical rather than a moral reason, but we are discussing practical morality. If we're going to commit one evil to avert a greater evil, we need to have a realistic chance of actually averting that greater evil. And the more force we use, the better hope we need to have that it will pay off.
This is the condition that Barack Obama did not mention at the Nobel ceremony, and the one he apparently doesn't like to talk about. If you are going to fight a war to prevent even greater violence, you need to be able to prevent that violence.
Even the most scrupulous just war means committing a guaranteed evil, the violence that you will commit, for a chance of averting a larger one. Success in war can only ever be a probability, not a certainty, and if you fail to avert the greater evil you set out to fight, you will have only added more bodies to the pile. So you need to be damned sure of your chances.
If this sounds abstract, let me phrase it as a question: Why didn't Luxembourg try to stop Hitler? The answer is obvious: they could not. If they had attacked the German army in 1939, they would have been destroyed and the Germans would have gone right back to their destruction. They would not have lessened the evil that the Germans were doing; they would have added to it.
It is flatly immoral, in the just-war framework, to attack without any hope of success. Only success, or a good-faith expectation of success, can justify a war fought on the grounds that it is the lesser evil. In the same way, a just war must be planned in a way that permits success. If you send an expeditionary force to stop a genocide in a foreign country, but you send only a handful of troops, you are no longer fighting a just war. You're simply killing more people. And if the goal of your war is fundamentally unachievable, then there is no way to justify it. George H. W. Bush's intervention in Somalia was purely humanitarian and generous; the goal of distributing food and aid to the starving is fundamentally just. But there quickly turned out to be no way to achieve that honorable goal in that place by force of arms. And just wars are not about good intentions. They are about relieving suffering and deterring bloodshed.
Obama does not wish to discuss the expectation of success condition, because he is bogged down in two wars where success can no longer be achieved. Iraq is obviously something he has been saddled with, and it's clear to the whole world why he's there; he's there because his troops are hard to extricate. Afghanistan, on the other hand, is a war that Obama explicitly defends as a just war, fought for an appropriate cause. And one could certainly argue that the initial invasion of Afghanistan was a perfectly orthodox just war: the United States was responding to an actual threat to its citizens' safety, and the goals of driving al-Qaeda out of Iraq and disrupting their terrorist operations were eminently feasible. But there are no longer any obviously feasible goals in Afghanistan. What we hope to achieve by remaining, or reasonably can believe we might achieve by remaining, has become a mystery. Obama can't justify the continuation of his "good war" in the just-war framework, and he knows it. So he doesn't try.
The question is not whether we should use our military to protect Libyan civilians from wholesale murder. I think that goal, taken just on its own terms, is unimpeachable. The question, which has yet to be answered, is whether our military power can protect those civilians from violence. That's the most important question of all.
By Ismail Kahn, New York Times, May 23/24, 2012
PESHAWAR, Pakistan — A Pakistani doctor who helped the Central Intelligence Agency pin down Osama bin Laden's location under cover of a vaccination drive was convicted on Wednesday of treason and sentenced to 33 years in prison, a senior official in Pakistan said.
A tribal court here in northwestern Pakistan found the doctor, Shakil Afridi, guilty of acting against the state, said Mutahir Zeb Khan, the administrator for the Khyber tribal region [....]
By Sergei L. Loiko, Los Angeles Times, May 23, 2012
MOSCOW — Stiff new penalties aimed at opposition protesters were given preliminary approval Tuesday by Russian lawmakers loyal to President Vladimir Putin, the target of mass rallies and demonstrations before his March election victory.
The bill, which opposition parliament members termed draconian and protested by threatening to file out of a legislative session, calls for fines of up to $50,000 and up to 200 hours of community service for organizers of rallies and demonstrations that grow violent or exceed the approved number of participants.
The sanctions were approved on first reading by parliament's lower house, which is controlled by Putin's United Russia party. They mark a return by the Kremlin to a tough stance against critics after concessions during the recent election campaign [...]
Also see:
Russians back Putin, strong leadership
Washington Post, May 22, 2012
A Pew survey of 1,000 Russians found that President Vladimir Putin is well-liked by more than 70 percent of citizens, especially older adults.
Associated Press, May 21, 2012
HAVANA — It was all sunshine, smiles and celebratory speeches as officials marked the arrival of an undersea fiber-optic cable they promised would end Cuba's Internet isolation and boost web capacity 3,000-fold. Even a retired Fidel Castro had hailed the dawn of a new cyber-age on the island.
More than a year after the February 2011 ceremony on Siboney Beach in eastern Cuba, and 10 months after the system was supposed to have gone online, the government never mentions the cable anymore, and Internet here remains the slowest in the hemisphere. People talk quietly about embezzlement torpedoing the project and the arrest of more than a half-dozen senior telecom officials.
Perhaps most maddening, nobody has explained what happened to the much-ballyhooed $70 million project....
By Tamasin Ford in Monrovia, Guardian.co.uk, May 22, 2012
Husbands, not strangers or men with guns, are now the biggest threat to women in post-conflict west Africa, according to a report by the International Rescue Committee (IRC) released on Tuesday.
The IRC report, Let Me Not Die Before My Time: Domestic Violence in West Africa, based on data collected over 10 years by the IRC in Sierra Leone, Liberia and Ivory Coast, said domestic violence is the "most urgent, pervasive and significant protection issue for women in west Africa" [.....]
By Lolita C. Baldor, Associated Press, May 22, 2012
WASHINGTON -- Uncle Sam may not want you after all.
In sharp contrast to the peak years of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, the Army last year took in no recruits with misconduct convictions or drug or alcohol issues, according to internal documents obtained by The Associated Press. And soldiers already serving on active duty now must meet tougher standards to stay on for further tours in uniform.
The Army is also spending hundreds of thousands of dollars less in bonuses to attract recruits or entice soldiers to remain.
It's all part of an effort to slash the size of the active duty Army from about 570,000 at the height of the Iraq war to 490,000 by 2017. The cutbacks began last year, and as of the end of March, the Army was down to less than 558,000 troops.
For a time during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Army lowered its recruiting standards [....]
This is brilliantly argued but I'd add a few some more conditions.
The public and its representatives must form a consensus in favor of the war for it to be just.
The public and its representatives must be informed of the risks and requirements of the operations in order to give considered consent.
I'm arguing here that a dictatorship can never participate in a just war, since its people would never be polled or brought on board in any way. I'm also arguing that though I believe Obama acted within his own moral framework and though I credit him with putting a praiseworthy amount of thought into this decision, that he was entirely deficient about bringing the public into the discussion.
The decision making here was too unilateral for me to support.
So if the war fulfills all of the conditions stated in Dr. C's piece, but a bare majority of The People disagree because they incorrectly judge it otherwise, then it's not just?
It seems that what you're really saying is that the would then be just, but to you illegitimate anyway, because in your view, you then you need both the institutions of representative democracy to think so, and then also public opinion polls (this last one I just couldn't disagree with more, constitutionalism is representative and not direct democracy, why bother venerating the separation of powers if you're going to invest the power to make foreign policy in another place where it doesn't reside -- a guy answering Rasmussen push poll calls.)
I'd rather have a just illegitimate war here than an unjust legitimized war, with an AUMF and a plurality of popular support -- Iraq. If leaders get the just war right, legitimation is a secondary problem.
Dunno. A war can fulfill Doc C's criteria, but if the people who are going to be risking their lives for it do not agree that it is just, then that seems like a war effort that is unjust to and towards the population of the country going to war however good the grounds may be.
I wasn't aware that there was much risk of U.S. life in the U.S. involvement in Libya. What then?
In the context of your comment, I'd just like to repeat something I said on another thread which I think is applicable: it used to be that installing and maintaining a no-fly zone was considered being anti-war, a preventive to war, not waging war.
What happened to change that? I believe the UN resolution in its open ended vagueness about other assistance is the main reason.
Perhaps it was seen as needing to be that way because of the lateness of the action, with Gaddafi's tanks and troops and other major military equipment on the edge of last opposition sronghold of Benghazi, they had to add something about being able to attack that equipment, rather than just air equipment, too?
But I think people should not forget about the potential of a no-fly zone only as a way to prevent war. For the international community to forcefully remove a country's ability to operate an air force, I am not comfortable with calling that waging "war." A country's ability to have an air force, to me, it would be a good thing if we subjected nations to certain standards the same way we try to do with nuclear weapons.
Also I'd like to add that a lot of people are now presuming a goal of removing Gaddafi in their arguments about this. When in actuality, that is still a point of contention and disagreement among he participants, even within the individual nation's DOD's and militaries. There's the ones who wanted to do the no fly zone just to give the two sides more of an equal chance, then there's the ones that are doing it hoping to remove Gaddafi. The UN resolution, though, said nothing about "regime change." Neither did the no fly zone over Iraq, that wasn't about regime change. Most people were happy with the status quo of a no fly zone keeping Saddam in check, even though he lost a wold war against him, there was no expectation for him to step down.
I find mincing about whether bombing a country is war or not to be facile and intellectually dishonest. If someone bombed U.S. soil, imagine arguing it's not an act of war. It's aggressive, it uses weapons, it violates territorial sovereignty.
While fraught with dangers which any practitioner or defender of it would have to acknowledge to likewise be honest, the just war concept is good because it steps past the mincing and says sometimes, it's just right.
There are both good and stupid arguments in favor of intervening in Libya, and both good and stupid arguments against it. I think it's pretty obvious that any no-fly zone in Libya, or any destruction of the Libyan air force, is about regime change. And that works for me, in this case, on these facts, at this moment, though it would have worked better a week earlier.
I think sometimes the mincing comes from dealing with those in the public discourse who in essence breaks things down as "Vietnam and Iraq were wars, the action in Libya is a war, therefore Libya is like Vietnam and Iraq." Rather than go into things like the Dr. has (and now people can link to this blog), it seems easy to say "if war is going to be equated with the likes of Vietnam and Iraq, then this action in Libya isn't a war."
The word "war" has, like so many words so twisted and broadened beyond recognition, become almost meaningless as some means of describing something happening in our world.
I beg to differ that it's mincing words or being nitpicky. I think this is important., I think some really important issues are being ignored by the whole conversation of "war." I think all "war" talkers from all sides are adding confusing, diversionary spin.
The main intent of the UN resolution was to force a ceasefire.
Everyone and his uncle from liberal bloggers to tv pundits to British Defence Minisers, and including many other parties involved, are intent as spinning it as war, either supporting the rebels or to get regime change or whatever. And I think that's too bad for the future of peacekeeping.
Sometimes getting to negotiations requires forcefully taking away weapons. A cop on a domestic disturbance call wouldn't start talking with the battling husband and wife about settling their differences if the husband has a gun in his hand. The settling of differences talk comes after.
It's a pity we're not talking about whether that is what the tactics being used in this case are doing that successfully or correctly or not, and who is following the good faith effort of the UN resolution and who is not, but talking about it as a war. If every attempt at disarming bad actors is called war and all peace loving folks are against trying it for that reason, we are doomed. Yes, there's some shit going on in the action here that doesn' fit the picture, I say let's talk about that, let's say we don't want it to be a war, we want it to be a disarming leading to cease fire and negotiations.
"Police action" became a bad word since it was twisted for Vietnam. Too bad in my book. I like the idea of having police that keep the peace, I call that civilization.
Sorry, but this one looks/feels/smells one hell of a lot like a war AA.
To the two sides fighting it on the ground, it's clearly a war. That's not in any way in question, nor is it a matter of spin.
You guys just seem to want a different name for what we're doing. I donno, but seems like spin to me if two sides are at war, and we're bombing the snot out of just the ONE side, if all our speeches are about the illnesses and cruelties of ONE leader, etc. then, I find it hard to say we're mere policemen, aiming to stand between the two sides.
As for the peacekeeping thing, well... Canada has a long history of being peacekeepers. The population kinda likes doing it. Except in this case, we're using F-18's to bomb Libya. No one is mentioning this as an example of our proud peace-keeping tradition.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/canadian-jets-bomb-libyan-t...
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/africa-mideast/allies-are-stil...
Those miserable, war-mongering Canucks, eh?
Thank God you didn't use boxes in your comment. Just kidding! :)
Seriously, I understand where you're trying to go. I just think it's actually more confusing to take a word as conceptually central as "war" from the mix. Removing it is euphemizing. "Police action" is a euphemism. But I would be defeating my own point if I privileged what we call Libya over what I think of it. I approve. So if it be a police action, an exercise in defense of human rights, or just bombing the shit out of the Libyan air force, it is what it is.
Let's just not get so wrapped up in labels we fail to have a candid and evaluative discussion. Your argument is certainly more complex than what I'll say now, but saying it has elements of war, and that's automatically bad, and elements of peacekeeping, and that's automatically good, seems to me to disserve the understanding it deserves. Not saying you're saying that, just saying labels aren't arguments, they're talismans. Better to ask, fer it or agin it.
Got it.
- Gadhafi has a history of terrorist action (Lockerbie?). If he's not ousted I imagine he'll be happy to take up that old hobby again.
- Afghanistan started out as a no-risk operation, but what exactly is the body count today...?
A couple of thoughts. (1) You - the government - are still killing people, usually including innocents (given the inevitable accidents here and there), in the name of the people of your country. Some sense of justice or fairness requires their consent. That's not to say this justice is the only or overriding concern in such a situation, in much the same way as you seem perhaps rightly to sometimes prefer just but 'illegitimate' wars, but I do think it matters. You seem to use the word 'illegitimate' here as designating an insignificant absent quality of conventional protocoll. It seems to me a very GOP-like view of the responsibility of political representatives - and esp. the executive - towards the people: Elections provide all the consent that is needed for all and every action the president may wish to undertake.
(2) I find it actually worrying that the US can increasingly go to war without it costing anything in terms of blood or treasure. The drone-bombings in Yemen and Pakistan, for instance - no one cares (I'm not saying they amount to war, for obvious reasons, though). The fact that the taking of life now seems, at least, to have no costs, creates a certain cavalier attitude towards the activity. "Hey, why not? Right?". That is just human nature - fear disciplines the mind. It's absence creates shabby half-assed thinking. Who even knows or cares what countries the US is bombing and who is getting killed there? Not Americans. Just look at those in favor of the Libyan action - many do not even consider it qualifies as 'war', in part I assume because we can do it all with tomahawks and F-15s: from a clean and proper distance. And, to some extent, they are right: when all the warmaking is one-sided (Libyans are doing and will - per your hypothesis - do nothing to threaten Americans), it isn't really war, is it? It certainly doesn't feel like warfare on this end. Somehow, I don't find that general attitude, however factually accurate, to be a comfort going forward.
I don't believe it's your intention, but that highlights the risk of not going to war/invoking a no-fly zone/"peace-keeping"/whatever-we-want-to-call-it.
Edit to add: I'm not disagreeing with your main point, however. I just have a tendency to play devil's advocate.
I think not taking sides would have kept in place the status quo over the past few years (since the deal over Lockerbie) whereby we throw money at him in exchange for oil and no-more-destabilizing-random-terror activities.
To be clear - I also thought THAT status quo was a bad idea - for the simple reason that Gadhafi is manifestly, to anyone who has dealt with him, a nutball. And his sons are sociopaths So that was always going to be unsustainable. WE made him unstable and rich. Which is much worse than what we had before, unstable and poor. I.e. it's a crisis of our own making, the same damn crisis over and over again, where we support nutters financially or otherwise for convenient short-term goals and then have to bomb the crap out of the country when it turns out to be unconvenient that ... they are nutters.
Hmmmm. Nutball leaders, with sons who are sociopaths.
Good thing that could never happen here.
Hello W!
Different point, friend. You started off with that the war was unjust not by the lens of the post (unjust toward its object, Libya, or people there), by saying lack of consent by those governed here in the U.S. to risking their lives in it made it unjust.
My question doesn't presuppose that antiseptic war is good, or should make us encouraged. It was, however, a refutation of your point, because it knocks out the argument you were making for why the war is "unjust."
I don't think my view of representative democracy is GOPish, I think it's Madisonian. We don't do foreign policy by plebiscite, nor by snap poll. And this is good. LBJ's drift into engagement in Vietnam occurred because of and in anticipation of the 1964 election. Bush engineered a war that was popular enough for the 2002 midterms, and in anticipation of being a war President in 2004. Bloggers give insufficient shrift to the evil of mobs, too happy to put all the blame on the leaders. I don't trust these polls.
The critique that the U.S. is killing people on the ground and that that is unjust is fully addressed by Dr. C's arguments, and I stick with them as my position. You'd need to justify a war on the bases Dr. C said.
What you can't do is say those stringent criteria are met (you're saving lives, and it's the only way to do it), but then if 55% of Americans (remember, 20% of Americans believe in the Building 7 conspiracy, tons believe Obama was born in Kenya, they're geniuses) mistakenly think the criteria aren't met, it's still unjust. Says who? The people who are mistaken? Some implicit covenant in representative democracy that allows direct democratic extra oversight of war decisions because they hurt other people, even though we have a system of government to do that?
At bottom, I favor this intervention and suspect you don't, and so folks like you and destor are happy to subscribe to as many intermediate processes as are necessary to make this and maybe most any intervention impossible. Based on Iraq and post 2002 Afghanistan, I get it, I have respect for that impulse, but I still favor destroying Gaddafi's air force.
And it's ironic and dangerous to make popular consent measured by poll a condition for intervention -- that justified at one point Vietnam, Iraq, and long occupation in Afghanistan. Madison was a pretty smart guy, separating all these powers, and creating lots of indirection here. Vox populi, while a nice segment on the Howard Beale show, has failed us a lot recently.
Thanks for the response.
I was maybe unclear - I was conceding the hypothetical - if there is no risk, then the point I was making about unjustly imposing risks obviously doesn't apply. I was just raising a broader worry about the trend towards risk-free cost-free war: it changes the cost-benefit calculus, and more mistakes will get made. Thought it might be interesting. Or maybe not. Your call.
On the rest - I didn't have in mind 'Consent By Mob', I had in mind, well, CONGRESS. The legislative branch voting. Horseshit about 'imminent dangers' per the WPA just don't wash in my opinion. If the British parliament has the time to get together and debate it before taking action, then the US congress does as well. If the US congress can get a vote passed in two days when the Banks are in trouble, then they can do it over a war.
Though I don't know if you consider congress just another 'dangerous' 'obstacle' standing between the US and war...
;0)
On the more general points, from what you say at the bottom of the thread, you seem to prefer a more restricted discussion of a narrow set of issues relating to Just War Theory, and seem frustrated at people laying out a broader set of issues. Personally, I don't think just war theory is the be all and end all of a decision to go to war, Morality isn't everything. So where you see just war theory as a minimal standard for what is ultimately a practical decision, I don't. In my opinion, we can explore these broader issues, and if the current case fails to come up to snuff, IT STILL MIGHT BE A GOOD IDEA TO GO AHEAD. So I don't think you need to think of those other concerns as necessarily little more than random spanners anti-war types are trying to throw in the works. Morality is complex and messy, and pretending its clean and simple and a little exercise in act-utilitarian arithmetic is going to make for a misguided and blinkered discussion.
And as for your suspicions, yes, I suspect I'm against the war as well. Mostly I'm just playing devil's advocate against the ... war advocates on the last couple of posts. I find it's a tough call to make.
Ok, I get you at the top now, I didn't see that you were conceding that point, but sure, antiseptic war has its own disturbing set of problems. Agree.
My view of Congress on war is that we have, for both better and worse, settled into a political/legal culture in which Congress' originally intended constitutional authority over these matters (back to that Madison guy) has been ceded, short of the fullest form of "war," which requires a declaration and Congressional vote, to the Executive. So a few cruise missiles are Constitutionally a little pregnant, not really "war," even though the Constitution didn't contemplate that answer, I think.
Do I want that world that way? Probably not. Given that we've been there for decades, Libya to me is a reasonable call. I don't see today as the day to reinvent that discussion. And like you sounded toward the bottom of your comment, I'm not hung up on criteria. I believe in intervening seldom, and only when the risk/reward is clear and strong. I think it was in Afghanistan in 2001, not in Iraq, not in Grenada, not with the contras, not most of the times since WWII. Not is my answer much of the time. But since I think the President has this one right, I'm good with it. And he will be judged for it, as he should be.
One could argue that in a democracy, extended military engagements without public support have little realistic chance of success (one of the conditions noted).
(cue boring, predictable rants about lack of real democracy in US - as compared to, say...)
Yes, representative democracy discourages but does not prohibit unpopular wars and military strikes, just as it discourages but does not prohibit unpopular policies. That's not undemocratic in any way. And that's all sideways to the post, which was the point of my comment upthread.
I'm not suggesting a plebiscite. The congress should be sufficiently afraid of the people not to rush them into a war they don't want. However, as with Iraq, just having the support of the population at the time the war begins isn't sufficient to make the war just or wise. I'd say its not sufficient by itself, but it's necessary.
Well, the President should also be afraid of rushing into a war people don't want. But both Congress and the President have the responsibilities they do, and they have to make the right decision, and they can be held accountable down the road.
I understand saying popular support is a necessary but not sufficient condition, well put, but I responded just above to Obey, and explain there as a response also to you my distrust of direct popular input on these questions (which having to achieve majority public support really is, even if one doesn't want to acknowledge it).
I'm confident Obama can explain what he's doing to the electorate to its satisfaction. But the exigencies of time don't permit, and to me wisdom doesn't sit on the side of, getting to 50% on bombing airfields before you do it. What if it takes a month to get there, but you can do it today and save lives? The moral calculus isn't changing, except negatively as you waste your ability to save them. And for a notion of governance found nowhere in our system of government. Sometimes, people are led badly. And sometimes, they need to be led. We'll see how this one plays out, which of the two it turns out to be.
Ideally (given that avoiding war is impossible), I'd rather have a just legitimized war than either of those two choices. (However, given those two choices as the only options, I'd agree with your particular option.) In this case, it seems Obama could have done a little more to legitimize his actions. Kudos to him for waiting for UN support, but while waiting for that, could he not have at least consulted, say, Dick Lugar et al., even if he didn't feel he had the time to wait for Congress to vote for the action (which would've have made it legitimate)?
(Granted, I'm assuming that Dick Lugar isn't lying about not being consulted, but no one's disupting that as far as I know.)
All important political considerations in a democracy, destor, but nothing to do with whether a war is just or not. And since an absolute monarchy is a dictatorship, you're saying the UAE, Qatar, saudi Arabia can't ever take part. The theory of just war was developed when there were nothing but absolute monarchies around, so your conditions couldn't have applied; no just wars were possible. You make a good argument for not supporting the intervention, but not against its justice.
I have to admit, I don't think that the UAE, Qatar or Saudi Arabia can ever take just military action. I don't even think they can have just foreign policies.
I disagree public consensus impacts the nature of the "Just War" framework. It is a formula based on morality balance, outcomes and reasonable expectations not public opinion. In fact, it seems impossible for a decision subject to the whim of public emotion and media manipulation to have been based on a true weighting of the moral imperatives DC lays out.
You aren't really talking about "Just War." You are talking about the participation of America in specific international military intervention in Libya and how you feel about the political process in the context of being an American citizen. This isn't an American war. This is an international war. The "Just War" analysis would be no different with the participation of America than it would be if the other nations proceeding without our support (obvious impact on "likelihood of success" notwithstanding). Your personal approval or rejection doesn't really change the immutable facts surrounding the decision.
We have international obligations under the UN charter. The UN is the forum in which the ethical and other issues were decided by the representatives of all people. In this forum the representative of the American public actually is Obama - not our legislature. So in that regard, you really did get to pick who would be doing this for us when you voted in 2008. So did I. That's not where Obama screwed up.
He screwed up at home. I agree the American decision making was entirely too internally unilateral for me to support as well. I see this as crucially important in terms of American governance. That's why I continue to assert that I hope Obama gets slapped down for it (although I am also skeptical this will happen). That is a matter of internal politics and expectations based on our own policies. My complaint isn't with a moral deficiency in the decision to intervene, my complaint is with the PROCESS by which our contribution to the decision was finalized.
I don't find any moral inconsistency wanting to fix the problems in our own political system revealed in the process of our approach to meeting international obligations while totally supporting the underlying reasons and final decision adopted by the international community of which we are a part.
I think there is a difference between just wars and politically legitimate wars. Both questions are important, but they are also separate.
Some versions of the just war theory add a condition about "legitimate authority of the war-maker" but I reject that as not growing from the basic necessary-evil premise. Furthermore, I think insurgent groups can and even sometimes have waged just wars.
I'm not going to Godwin out this thread, so let me say that if, hypothetically, Mobutu Sese Seko had unilaterally intervened to stop the Rwandan genocide, that would have been just. Mobuto would still have been tyrannical and illegitimate, but the moral foundation for military action would have been sound.
On the other hand, many wildly unjust wars have been deeply popular. World War I (which, face it, couldn't have been a just war on both sides) was feverishly popular among European voters until, well, it started. But they were all for it. They demanded it.
I agree that our wars should be democratically legitimate as well as just. But those are two goals, not one.
I don't know if I can separate the two in my mind, though I accept that some do. To me, the idea of a dictator, benevolent or not, launching a "just war" is a bit like me launching a charity with stolen money. Perhaps I ultimately did more good for the world than my victims would have had I not robbed them, but it'd be hard to call my actions "just." A dictator has simply robbed people of their own rights and authority, just as I would be a hypothetical robber of money.
Very sharp as usual, Doc. I do think, however, that you miss two other important motivations for war: self-defense and retaliation.
In discussing imminence, you compared the U.S. to a police officer. That's an appropriate analogy for American intervention in Libya, but I don't think it fits our invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq nearly so well. When enemies attack a non-strategic foreign country, you're unlikely to see much enthusiasm for war except under extreme circumstances, such as genocide. But when they attack the U.S., it doesn't take many casualties to provoke a wildly disproportionate response with very few moral qualms from much of the population.
The better analogy would be an intruder coming onto our property an assaulting members of our family. While the legality of self-defense actions may be narrowly defined, I think you would find most people to be fairly permissive about the virtue of a disproportionate response, especially in the absence of credible authorities. Such a response might even include retaliation against the attacker's cohorts. In the True Grit, for example, I doubt many audience members were terribly concerned about the ethics of killing off Ned Pepper's gang along with Tom Chaney.
Of course, the war in Iraq was neither self-defense nor punitive retaliation, but the point is that Bush offered both rationales. It was these dishonest appeals rather than a pious appeal to righteousness that made the war so popular at the time.
I don't think "Just War" is the only kind of war can be justified as moral. It doesn't seem possible (or perhaps even desirable) to create a unified theory.
Neither Iraq or Afghanistan appear to qualify under the "Just War" paradigm as I'm interpreting it. With Iraq being an unjustifiable/immoral war in my opinion.
I think self-defense, and retaliatory self-defense (to make future attacks less likely) are generally covered by just war theory, which always permits self-defense. (You don't have to let an invader kill ten thousand of your people because repelling him would kill fifty thousand. You don't have to accept terms pressed upon your nation by force, or allow other people to kill your citizens.)
But, as kgb says, just war theory does not cover all situations. It doesn't easily describe revolutions or wars of independence, for example. (Not surprising, considering that this framework was developed in a deeply imperial culture.)
"The question is not whether we should use our military to protect Libyan civilians from wholesale murder. I think that goal, taken just on its own terms, is unimpeachable." Dr.C.
Does "Just war theory" address the situation where a third party which was not threatened but which has a conflict of interest in the outcome then chooses its favored side and initiates an attack using methods which expose its forces to very little risk but have a certainty of killing many?
Also, I realize that in theory that there could be a just war which had unjust actions within it. Stardust posted the following link in another thread. If the quoted paragraph is accurate was the action "just"? Could a war that was otherwise considered to be just still be so if that action was acceptible procedure?
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/23/world/africa/23plane.html?_r=2
A Marine Corps officer said that the grounded pilot, who was in contact with rescue crews in the air, asked for bombs to be dropped as a precaution before the crews landed to pick him up. “My understanding is he asked for the ordnance to be delivered between where he was located and where he saw people coming toward him,” the officer said, adding that the pilot evidently made the request “to keep what he thought was a force closing in on him from closing in on him.”
And, is it possible for both sides in a war based, on their own evaluation of a situation, to be waging a "just war"?
I think there are certainly situations where both sides believe themselves to be just, woith varying degrees of realism. Many aggressors talk themselves into believing they're in the right, and really do convince themselves. And some groups have a plausible but partisan case that simply looks weaker if you're from another group.
But I think the cases where both sides have legitimate grievances are long-standing conflicts where the "proportionate and discriminate" rule got thrown overboard a long time ago, leading to a cycle of escalating retaliation. Which largely flunks the just war test.
I can't help but believe that self-interest figures prominently in "just" wars, too. We aren't really the world's policeman, we just play Superman when it suits us.
Again, it all comes back to Lois Lane.
Shoot. You got me.
This is an excellent summary of the basis of the just war.
I would only add that part that truly get tricky is:
Perhaps most importantly, a just war is a last resort. It's not okay to kill a lot of people because you're preventing even more death and violence. It's only acceptable to kill a lot of people because it is the only possible way to prevent even more death and violence. If you have another option for averting the violence, you should take it. You must take it.
I am thinking of Afghanistan here, and not in terms of what will happen to Afghanistan. It has been posited that one the reasons, if the not the primary reason, we are staying there is because of the situation in Pakistan. And that if things aren't dealt with as they are now, that things could (would) unravel so quickly that we would find ourselves in a situation where the success factor of a just war would be thrown out of the window. From this perspective, looking at the potential consequences for the region and the global community, it is practical and just to keep the forces in Afghanistan because it is the closest thing we can get to impeding the disasterous unraveling.
Now this brings in the condition of imminence. Except in a few rare incidents, imminence is still a judgment call. Most of the time when a sniper takes out a hostage taker, the hostage taker's finger is not one millionth of an inch from the trigger and moving closer. The decision that hostage taker will likely kill the hostage(s), so when the sniper gets a clean shot, he or she takes it, even if it when the hostage taker has a brief moment to pause and pick his or her nose.
While the development of WMD can be closely gauged as to their imminence, the recent "Arab Spring" shows that things in the streets can happenly very quickly without much warning. They are like earthquakes, in that all the conditions are there, but the "pop" could be tomorrow or 25 years from now.
I agree that judging the imminence of a threat is a sticky problem. But judging proportional response and chances of success are both also very tricky.
The framework sounds clean, but it gets messy very, very fast. One reason to have the framework is to build a clear overall structure for sorting out the messy details. But those details still have to be sifted on their own, and it is nothing like easy.
Going back to the original post , it defines away the crucial need to incorporate consideration of matters of degree.. For example
should read
Yes, that's a good point. I should not have defined those aspects away.
But I also wanted to suggest other potential problems ... that the intervention would not, itself, suffice to create stability or forestall violence in a post-Qaddafi Libya, for example. Military power is our only tool in this situation (considering how fast events are moving), but that doesn't mean it's a sufficient tool.
Altho it read that way I didn't mean to critcize your formulation. It was already complicated enough
I think it was fine as far as it went but should have been titled Obama's Just War, Section 1.
No worries, Flav. Thanks.
This is a mellifluous argument, Doctor Cleveland, well written, well reasoned, and still full of too many holes for me to leave alone (against my better instincts, as I know in advance that I won’t talk you down one iota from your lofty ‘just war’ perch.
I really dislike what we are told is going on in Libya lately, and kinda loved it when the rebels were routing the Gadaffi forces. And part of me wanted to cheer the idea of a ‘no-fly zone, even though the Military (in the form of Gates and others) told the press (tacky, IMO) that it would be difficult and not terribly productive.
(This is going to be, of necessity, a bit out of order as my thoughts coalesce; sorry for that. My mind is awash with contradictions to what you have presented here.) You’vbe presented an argument that might stand in some imagined world of your creation and belief, and I may too, on the other end of the spectrum.
The topic of the UNSC 1973 was brought up by kgb, and I will say that when first commenting on the boards I’d thought that the War Powers Act covered the Pres. Turns out I was wrong, as there had to be clear and imminent danger to allow him the sixty days (plus 48 hours to notify Congress, not ask for a Resolution, to be in the clear Constitutionally. The potential instability of the Arab World as imminent danger is in the eye of the beholder, but almost silly, even if you were to factor in the recent Jasmine/Arab Spring Revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt.
In my further hunt for the Constitutionality of the Lybian War, I found a man who believes adamantly that this 1945 law concerning the Prez and the UN had merit, i.e. , The United Nations Participations Act, though when I posted it to (alleged) scholars, they said it wasn’t quite it, and had been since amended (see links).
http://jenkinsear.com/2011/03/19/a-legal-war-the-united-nations-participation-act-and-libya/
Another point you seem to miss is that there isn’t any end game spelled out. We now know that the no-fly zone has killed Gadaffi’s chances of any air war. Great. But he is still blasting people and buildings apart with tanks, which he/they have been for several weeks, though the bombs were scary and sounded horrid, I think did far less damage than the tanks did. Where now then? Gadaffi hasn’t left, the President erred weeks ago, IMO, saying he needed to be gone, then doing nothing to back it up, effectively emboldening him (he is a psychotic narcissist, after all). No one seems quite in agreement about what’s next: kill more tanks, kill more infantry, train more rebels (Tripartate soldiers or Blackwater dudes?).
Kgb had been upset that at FDL (dunno, really), that anti-war commenters were upset that we don’t know who ‘the rebels’ are; maybe they are thugs, tribal thugs, and former Gadaffi military thugs we are helping. I kinda agreed that was odd. The I heard a Hillary Clinton re-run of Senate Intel or something a month ago saying she thought they might be allied with Al Qaeda. Well, there went that argument. We don’t know; does it matter?
Well, yeah; it will once the dust settles, and either We or They try to put a government together, or rebuild a shattered economy. Will we be there helping? Is that why Hillary and Sarkosy like Mustafa Jalil who’s been friends with Sarkozy, appealed to Hillary? We the West set up another puppet government like in Iraq? (oops; that didn’t work out so well…)
I suppose I’ll leave it you assess whether or not Obama should have been schmoozed into all this by Susan Rice and Samantha Powers and their guilt over not going into Rawanda to end that genocide, and Clinton being convinced by their solidarity, now aiming to quit Obama she’s so pissed at his…lassitude over this. I’ll give him credit for making it a wider mission, but really: who will lead the NATO forces if they put ‘boots on the ground’ as many are already contemplating?
Last thing I’ll ask you to consider is this: if it’s a mission of mercy for an emerging Democratic movement, why is Obama and the reat of the West giving the finger to those in Bahrain and Yemen whose movement participants have been killed so much more viciously, and in greater numbers, than in Libya? We know what Gadaffi said he’d do; in those other nations, their leaders were doing it.
Some op-eds to consider:
Stephen Walt (FP magazine): http://www.opednews.com/populum/linkframe.php?linkid=128959
Richard Falk :
http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/03/2011322135442593945.html#
and Michael C. Hudson on what it’s like in Bahrain:
http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/03/201132111471720661....
In the end, I think you maybe haven’t explored the darker sides of military misadventures in the ME, and aren’t nearly cynical enough. This reads like you still live in Yesteryear, when we truly thought we could save the world with the proper application of our Military Might. (Stephen Walt addresses that, by the by.)
And an Oldie But Goodie from Walt: 'Why do they hate us, and how many Muslims have we killed in the last thirty years?'
http://walt.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2009/11/30/why_they_hate_us_ii_how_many_muslims_has_the_us_killed_in_the_past_30_years
Actually, I don't think that it's a good idea if it's a just war. I think meeting the just war qualifications is a minimum requirement, not an all-sufficient pass.
And while I agree that there's no clear endgame, I also think that calls the justice of the war into doubt. Feasibility is one of the necessary conditions, and that includes a plan for success. The Underpants Gnomes can't wage a just war.
Where Obama falls away from the just-war paradigm most is in feasibility and the need for reasonable hope of success. (See: continuing in Afghanistan in order to achieve ...?)
The definition of success will be Qaddafi no longer attacking citizens in Libya with heavy military hardware.
I think you are confusing that with the question how long we'll need to maintain a presence to ensure unacceptable conditions do not reemerge - if we interpret the mandate to require such.
ensure unacceptable conditions do not reemerge
That's where the freezing of financial assets and blockade on weapons is supposed to come in. And that's why talking about arming the rebels above small arms is real problematic.Remember Rep. Charlie Wilson's "war" (though actually, come to think of it, for a long time we were afraid one of his hand-helds would show up bringing down a civilian airliner or a US plane in Iraq. Did that ever happen? It wasn't needed-all they needed was sucidal maniacs with flight training and box cutters. And for the vehicles, they didn't need the fancy stuff either, they make up their own IED's.)
Back to the money. Turns out Gaddafi had a lot of cash set aside. But he has to run out of it eventually.
After Charlie's war, the U.S. spent many millions of dollars buying back all the unfired Stingers they'd freely handed out to the Mujahideen. Looks like maybe they got them all.
thanks--truly, I had stopped paying attention a ways back when it just never seemed to happen, didn't know for sure. Shouldn' speak too soon, maybe some Tea Bagger is working on trying to get one back to working condition in his garage as I write, you never know....
Thanks for the effort. . Irrespective of your time zone it seems to me that you should now turn off the computer , let the comments accumulate over night and sort themselves into main categories and then do whatever you normally do.
I briefly considered going back to Michael Walzer but I think I'll start David Grossman instead.
There are lots of ways to San Jose.One is working the problem. Another is not working the problem and letting your subconcious act on it for a while which is my plan. Besides I want to get into Grossman's book.
.
Actually that was never one of my criticisms of FDL. My criticism was that up until the second we started intervention FDL was cheering on the rebels as freedom fighters (just as they continue to do with Yemen and others). The makeup of the rebel force didn't change when we started intervention. The fair-weather support did.
Sometimes i really do suspect when I see that kind of thing that it is part and parcel of a continuing kind of Bush Derangement Syndrome, that political blogging was basically born of derangement about Bush, and that a lot of blogging people that just can't get out of that box, everything is still framed by his tenure. They have a sort of vested interest in reacting/writing that way,just because it's become comfortable, it's easy, and it's hard to go into thinking about nuanced differences when they see something similar but not exactly the same...
Exactly. It's either right or not, not less or more so because Obama did it.
I dunno. I don't think the underlying reaction against this is specifically related to Obama having done it. Being anti-war almost seems like a self-identity linked back to the Vietnam war. Not in this instance really, but often the nostalgia is pretty thick. One way or the other, for anyone I've known who feels this way as an activist it seems ingrained well beyond what Obama does (more to the point, was around long before Obama - or Bush).
I think the reaction *has* been driven by a self-amplifying cycle that is in part fed by a sense of grievance with Obama. His decision that the trust of his base could be exchanged for the strong belief they would have nowhere else to turn in 2012 consequently means they don't trust him. Sometimes it's nice to have the base along with you for something beyond voting day.
I think people (ok, me) are already pretty aggrieved about the tax breaks and related caves. The senate is still talking about social security in the budget debate as a direct result of Obama's &*^@# executive order for that debt commission ... which is facilitated by the fact that we don't have shit for revenue because Obama caved on the tax breaks. And then the *&^$ DNC decides to go to an anti-union state for it's convention at the height of a labor protest. I know some think being aggrieved thus is irrational - but live with it, that's what the actions of the Democrats have produced. So the level was already pretty high.
This *has* been pretty damn accurate when applied to Western military actions over the last half-century:
War = [last republican president] = Fabricated Justification* = Indiscriminate Killing of Innocents = Horror.
(*Afghanistan wasn't fabricated but it has been so screwed to hell and back that it truly is irrelevant by this point)
And this gets us to Obama's failure to differentiate himself clearly from Bush (particularly in the execution of war/terror prevention). He's basically asking the anti-war people to trust him - that he's not really [Obama~=Bush] for the purposes of the historic rule-of-thumb for American war. He's betrayed them(us) on almost everything else, literally taunting them(us) from time to time, then says "Hey, let me hold that thing that's dearest to your heart ... promise I won't squish it." And he didn't even REALLY do that. He didn't even ask them to give it to him. He took it. Without even asking congress (much like Bush). Not exactly the way to win buy-in. Make no mistake Obama is a total douche on this.
Shit. That hit the already high legitimate grievance level and made a feedback loop that would deafen people in the parking lot driving up to the concert.
I think I understand more-or-less where folks are coming from. I just think it is an emotion-based reaction and an emotion based argument. Like it or not, there's a UN and we are a major player on the world stage. In my mind we owe it to the world to consider matters of life and death and truly weigh the specific factors involved and decide each case on the specific circumstances at the moment of decision. With the information I have, I would have made this decision.
I'd respond to these further points, but I'm not feeling very meta, or feeling very long-form-Obama-comment today.
In short, your original reaction to FDL on this (as I understood it) is correct imo, and I dislike FDL more than I like it, though there are pockets of real value and good work in it for sure.
Yeah. I made the mistake of using experiences-on-FDL-as-example last thread. Stuff went to hell ... residual fallout. Like putting two mirrors of meta together face-to-face; live and learn that. I generally like 'em more than not (the articles, really).
Uh-huh; dagblog is more like Playboy than FDL, that's for sure.
That's why I come here for the PICTURES!
You must be in hog heaven then; this one pissed me off, and one of DD's of a naked squatting woman who'd just given birth on the floor. Inapproriate Voyeurism , IMO. Nipples; F it.
http://dagblog.com/arts-entertainment/3-minutes-8546
'Spose I'm not the right one to judge propriety ... somewhat gratuitous though. Thank you for NOT linking DD's picture! Sounds horrific.
Heh. I did MIS for a year or so at a service bureau handing mostly phone sex lines (processing credit cards, routing calls, etc.). Some psychics and sports and party-line stuff, buuuuut mostly. The boss had a phone room on site though many of the lines went back out to all over the place (Canada, California, the other side of town). They had military guys who'd spend $2500 a month calling from Kuwait and stuff (post-Desert Storm at the time) just to talk - didn't even want "sex." Pretty interesting business - I got the hell out of there when they started designing the codecs for the live video stuff. Having to fix a malfunctioning phone in a call room or whatever is one thing ...
Well, that wandered waaaaay OT.
LOL! 'Gratuitous' is just the word I thought of later. It wasn't the job, just the photo; and no, I skipped the other. People are often lonely and need connections, huh? I've been researching solitary confinement, and hearing people speak of how horrid it is to have almost complete isolation broke my heart. No wonder so many really do go insane.
Now that's as naked as it gets.
Figured you'd be stopping by!
Let's pull this apart a bit, instead of everybody going on with the big paintbrush against all those (unnamed unquoted) anti-war types, shall we?
1. It is absolutely possible to support a group of rebels, but NOT support armed intervention in their support by major world powers and global alliances. There are a number of countries presently reduced to rubble where local citizens initially welcomed external support, but which process of becoming a scene of global attention resulted in their world turning to complete shit.
2. It is also entirely possible to support, in general, the rebels and rebellion in the Middle East, and in particular against Gaddafi, but when you see a major nation step in to back one side, decide to pause and look very closely at who, precisely, is leading that rebellion. This is , again, because we've seen rebellions starting with "the people" but ending up being led by individuals who turned out not all that different from the status quo. Indeed, major world powers often attempt to support precisely this maneuver, of having their guy run to the front of the parade.
3. It is also is entirely logical to change one's view of the rebels based on who joins their side. This is widespread throughout the history of the 20th Century. You know, if Stalin swapped teams, then so too did our views of entire nations. This wasn't just personal hatred - its a simple fact that when one obtains major league backing, those backers then shape where you go.
In this particular case, it is entirely logical to change one's views on supporting the rebels after Obama backs them, because of changes the situation might well make in HIS political situation, HIS wider decision-making, HIS chances of re-election. That is, I might wish for a rebel group to succeed... but if a George W Bush was going to be able to claim credit for their win, and thus gain popular support, it is entirely possible that I might find that outweighs my support for the rebels, and in my mind, places the world at greater risk.
So, 3 completely logical ways people can change their minds, based precisely on the linkages you folks are discounting.
4. It is also possible that the people at FDL you're referencing are just idiots, tools and fanatics. I tend not to hang there. However, this is why I really prefer to have therm quoted directly if they're being asinine, because we can then agree or disagree and not get painted/smeared with their particular words as part of being "anti-war" or "progressive"or whatever. It's a bit like not painting every person with a libertarian bent as being into Ayn Rand. Or Rand Paul.
Or even, Da Do Rand Rand.
Yep. And it's possible to support a group of Union workers but NOT support going on a legislative-executive offensive to push-back against union busting.
With all this support the freedom movements of the world should be right spiffy in no fucking time.
I'm not asking you to support the war. I never asked you to support the war. That post you flamed like an asshat didn't ask you to go to war ... it simply asked you to stop screaming and fucking hollering at the top of your lungs about the deficit in the exact frame the republicans are using to attack my national social security while you make your case against it. That's it. Obama hasn't done SHIT to justify trusting him if you reduce this an Americanized action exclusively. I disagree with you -but GOD man.
And if you want to dispute my characterization of FDL from yesterday; you should swing by a few times a day and check out the articles and the comments. If "Rayne left Feb 27 and nobody will tell me why." doesn't mean anything to you ... let it go.
Just stop referencing anti-war people and progressives and then hurling little girls and flowers and all that nonsense into the fray, and just refer to the argument that some people at FDL are making. Keep it restricted to them.
Otherwise, your blog reads like a flame. Which, in my books, it was. You were pissed at some people somewhere else, and you basically did a rant on them, over here.
See, when you write, still, today, "it simply asked you to stop screaming and fucking hollering at the top of your lungs about the deficit in the exact frame the republicans are using to attack my national social security while you make your case against it. That's it." Well, all I want to say is that I, and a whole lot of other people, aren't screaming and shouting about anything on this war, much less about the deficit. YOU were the one wound up. As for the case on using the deficit argument, I made my reply to that.
That blog wasn't your norm, I get that. You're a sane blogger, and smart.
On the war, I've made clear, explicitly, by naming other countries and their leaders and (some of) their sins, that I am not reducing this to an Americanized action. What I am doing is saying the US makes or breaks this action, both on the ground and at the UN. And I hoped the US, led by a party nominally of the Left, and a Peace guy, would pause and think through what it means to get involved, again, in a really murky Middle Eastern set of events. Both in terms of seemingly accelerating use of the military which BOTH parties are now engaging in, as well as because of international consequences. As in, if I hear one more idiot go off about how swiftly it'll be in and out, and others left to carry the thing on, I'm gonna throw myself of a bridge. Seriously. Like, they imagine we're gonna do this in secret, and nobody will remember, and surely, nobody would hold this against us, and the Russians and Chinese won't keep pointing at this as the US becoming almost addicted to military solutions, etc. Ah well. Nuff.
Trust me, it's going to be swift.
(Just doing my bit to address the over-population problem. Did you know that we've already passed the 6.9 billion mark?)
Little Known Fact: No Canadian bridge is more than 18" above the ground, as their primary use is as a passageway for the gentle wildlife, when they wish to cross the burbling streams and brooks.
Quite frankly we don't know anything about who's rising up in any of these countries.
Okay, Egypt got a lot of play, so we can be pretty sure it wasn't just Muslim Brotherhood, and that El-Baradei put a secular stamp on the whole thing.
But who rebelled in Tunisia, in Bahrain, who's in the street in Syria?
I have no idea. There were 1000 rebels in eastern Libya? Okay, of a country with 10's of millions, that sounds tiny (we don't support Shining Path as a freedom movement just because they exist, do we?).
Did it make any difference to anyone that Benghazi has long supported independence because they were cobbled together by British subterfuge to be part of Libya? So that perhaps their freedom-fighter sentiment is not about "Gaddafi the tyrant" and more about "Cyrenaica free forever"? I.e. will we fire cruise missiles to support a breakaway republic/independence movement in addition to firing cruise missiles for a democracy movement? Are they really a dangerous fundamentalist Islamic movement? Does that/should that change our response?
Where will these revolutions go? I was originally thrilled when the Ayatollah flew from Paris to Tehran. Oops, so much for youthful glee.
So yeah, even if we momentarily are excited about yet another Mideast uprising, they don't all look the same, and while I as an individual can give high-fives all I want and not affect anything, I expect my government to be more careful in its long-term diplomacy and military actions.
Sorry to tangle up your original criticism. Actually, there has been some change in the rebel forces and leadership, which fact I hadn't known. The original Gadaffi opponents have been somewhat supplanted by military or regime supporters defecting to the rebel side, and I suppose that elbowing each other out of the way is what frequently happens in similar situations, as the quest for power and influence are pretty human.
Having said that, I won't defend FDL per se, as I'm often turned off by comment threads or being attacked for voicing a different prespective. I'm a bit cross-wise with management, too, so that flavors my opinion. ;o) One diarist this morning gave a h/t to Rayne, though when I checked her activity log, it hadn't been updated, so it beats me. I admit I'm at the point I don't care much if I get banned. But again, I don't see comments as monolithically critical of the rebel forces as you, but waaaay too much testosterone on some threads, especially from former military. Ish.
Re Bahrain: What specific intervention would you like to see? How would it be carried out and what would the objective be?
It's not an either/or situation. Present a plausible way military intervention could help in Bahrain and I'll back you up on it if you feel strongly we should be intervening there.
The more I read, the less equivalence I see between the two cases. Just read the two UN resolutions and try to put the Bahrain situation in there. It doesn't fit. There's no need for a cease fire, there aren't refugees and the threat of more, there haven't been threats to destroy a whole segment of their population, there have been attempts at dialogue with the protestors--pitiful as they are--there's no telling the Security Council to take a flying fuck as to its first resolution, there's no mass defections of their diplomats, etc. Though all the relevant human rights language is in the resolutions about executing civilians, torture, fear tactics, etc., which could also be applied to Bahrain, the UN doesn't attempt to remedy those problems, it's just saying: cut that shit out, too. (Like it does very haplessly with the majority of countries in the world including our own at times.) More and more the best equivalence looks to be Kosovo, though it's not a perfect match either. I think Juan Cole is correct to point it out as a useful comparison, and that out of the Kosovo no fly zone, refugee problem solved, continual civil war problem ended and eventually a state was born. (Should there be a need for an equivalent KFOR, Obama has already pretty clearly implied that we aren't going to be it.) As problematic as it remains today, you don't see a lot of complaining in the EU about Kosovar refugees with no home to go to. Maybe there'll be two Libyan states for a while, methinks tho that the population of one could be extremely low.
I did answer on another thread that no, I'm not asking for military intervention in Bahrain, Yemen, or Syria, which in the past two days more than 40 protestors have been killed. Ironically, King Abdullah has apparently asked Saleh to stand down now that the Chief of the Army has deserted him.
Obama and Clinton could have issued warnings to the Saudis and the GCC nations that they would pay a price if they involved themselves, withollding aid, cancelling billions in arms deals, but of course, they won't. Observers agree that Gates/Obama greenlighted the Saudis to enter the fray. The administration has chosen to back away from working on an I/P peace; our old friend MJ Rosenberg writes about it at AJE (hint: he's writing better these days, and with a bit more calm). But again, he won't; he'll continue to take shit from Bibi and Barak.
Well crap; I took a toast break and lost my train of thought. Bygones.
I lose my train of thought every time I get toasted, too.
LOL! And tippling so early is a veddy bad sign... Better than the alternative?
Choo-a-chooo! I remember: I'll say again that another choice for Obama would have been to let Sarkozy, Cameron, Rice and Clinton know that the US would abstain on 1973, and let the other countries take care of this. By recognizing the provisional govt. in Lybia, you could make a case that France had grounds to interfere (which Sarkozy arguably arranged on purpose, given his friendship with Jalil, whoever he really is), but I ain't buying the RtoP doctrine here, as we so selectively choose it.
The coalition this time was better, especially gaining the African and Arab Union's (not the right names, sorry) support, at least at first. But that the US chooses very flawed tactics in regard to the Pottery Barn rule is important to my thinking here.
Update on African Union and Arab League: it seems they are backing way away from this now, as their original agreement was broadened by SC 1973. And the AU support was chimeric from the start, it seems.
The Baronness Catherine Ashton's deputy at EU Foreign Affairs desk supported Bahrain, et.al., in crushing their rebelious folk, saying:
"I'm not sure if the police have had to deal with these public order questions before. It's not easy dealing with large demonstrations in which there may be violence. It's a difficult task for policemen. It's not something that we always get right in the best Western countries and accidents happen."
Deputy Cooper said back in 2002, reminding me that the Elites of the Western World are framing Bahrain as a fiscally important place to keep stable, plus the Fifth Fleet and all:
Cooper, a former British diplomat and a writer, said in an essay in 2002:
"The challenge to the postmodern world is to get used to the idea of double standards. Among ourselves, we operate on the basis of laws and open co-operative security. But when dealing with more old-fashioned kinds of states ... we need to revert to the rougher methods of an earlier era - force, pre-emptive attack, deception." Tut-tut, and all that rot!
I kinda agree with you that the is more anger from some of us because we feel so let down by Obama's continuation of Bush's wars and foreign policy and unConstitutional actions, and the fact that so many Dems give him such wide leeway over things that would have driven them wild under Bush, not so much about any Deranngement Syndrome. And anger is natural, but some threads at FDL are kinda redundant. Sometimes I imagine DD avoiding the comments, but Marcy's threads usually receive more thoughtful ones, even if angry.
It's this sort of thing which made me argue earlier that the U.S. should sit itself out of these sorts of decisions and actions for a while.
What I man is that the 4 conditions listed above are a select subset of the wider Just War debate. What's interesting is that selecting this subset manages to entirely remove serious questions and considerations about the decision-maker and potential warring nation - the US - from the moral calculus. Rather, the U.S. gets to act as an external or (perhaps better) "above it all" arbiter, judge and decider.
I'm sure this goes down well in US foreign policy discussion circles, but as a full discussion on the morality of this war, I'd argue these omissions pretty much ensure the debate never much gets much deeper than a Sunday afternoon wader and his underwater farts.
For example, in my view, the past actions and present intentions of those making the decision to go to war have to be included in any moral calculus. It is not just about the "Evil" of the guy you are fighting, or the way it's fought ("Proportionate"), or the alternatives ("Last Resort"), or the probability of Success - it's about YOURSELF, as well. This set of issues is raised in many Just War discussions, I'm not just being randomly bad-temered here.
To put sample names to faces here (with the aim of bringing out the importance of the person/nation intervening), simply imagine if Stalin invaded a country to save it from a local tyrant... versus, say, the UN under Dag Hammarskjold and Lester B. Pearson. Or better, if Sweden and Canada under those two leaders invaded, versus Stalin. Stalin's track record and intentions would lead one to decide very different things even if the nature of the country being attacked and the odds of success were the same.
So, a genuine weighing of one's own intentions - and one's previous actions, which one is often known by - must come into play. And this is no trivial thing, looking for "cleanliness" or perfection in intentions, it's about how many will die, and when and how.
The Wiki discussion captures some of this as "Right Intention," and mentions as a nice example, that "revenge" not be a primary determinant. I think we all remember Iraq, and sense that there was a bit of revenge in play there.
Iraq, in fact, being an interesting case. It's actually quite possible to see it passing the 4 bare conditions set out in your blog, if that's all there are to a Just War. Good chances of success (yup)... when launched, ensure the violence is proportionate (doable)... we'd already been doing the no fly zone thing for years, so last resort... and Saddam was an evil butcher, same as Gaddafi (probably worse)...
The only thing one might argue is that the risk of Saddam performing an immediate "slaughter of the innocents" wasn't quite as obvious, perhaps. Unless, of course, Saddam actually had those nasty big-time weapons. And if that was the case, their mere possession - combined with the ability to launch them within seconds - means we'd better act, right? And I'm not just referring to WMD's and their ability to be used against us, I'm referring to gas and air forces and things like that, which can be used - and regularly are - against their own citizens.
Oh dear.
Because then, if we're only ever using just these 4 conditions, we're into a world where any of dozens of the world's frequent butchers should - if we can - be taken out. Because pretty much any tyrant worth his/her salt is responsible for the indirect and direct death of thousands of their own people these days. Are we sure we feel that much "Justice" in our sails?
One obvious additional problem that's arising here is that should a nation take it upon itself to launch a series of Just Wars, even against real-world tyrants, then... we may have just created a bit of a monster.
Back to Libya. The thing is, by using only these 4 conditions, and thus clearing ourselves from having to own our moral responsibility for anything, we avoid some nasty conclusions. For instance, is there any evidence at all that the United States of America, in its modern war-fighting mode, will avoid the large-scale death of innocent civilians? You can say "yes, it tries very hard." In reply, I might say that a method of fighting a war - surgically and all that - which has left hundreds of thousands dead can only be considered to be "avoiding" killing civilians if one's brain has turned to drool. And then there's the ugly, but more one-on-one examples, such as torture and the sorts of killings as are in Der Spiegel.
Looking back, for many decades the US armed, trained, funded and protected some of the worst torturers and murderers in the world. See: Central American history. But it was only because we could position it against the much-worse Soviet Union that it became tolerable. (For us.)
But today? War on Terror? Really? Nobody sensible believes that stuff.
How about our motives, then? We turned Gaddafi into one of the world's great bogeymen. Sure, he's a psycho. So were dozens of others, with 60% of them being put in place or propped up there by us.
Then, more recently, though it's being wiped from the memory banks, just as we did with Saddam, we made him... our buddy. Huge big contracts. Condi Rice, Blair, Sarkozy coming in for cozy visits.
So. I would argue that the evidence is that we go to war far too often, and for vile, and often hidden, motivations. Revenge. Pride. Domestic political gain. Oil. Reconstruction contracts. Anger. Fear of the Other. etc. And, I believe the evidence is also that we kill enormous numbers of innocents when we fight. And when we leave, it is not even clear that we are leaving the nations we fought to "save" in better condition than when we entered. I believe the daily life of Iraqis, for instance, is clearly worse than it was pre-No Fly Zone.
Now. This is actually a polite way to put all this. The harsher way is to say that there's a nation out there which is inflicting hundreds of thousands of deaths on citizens of a series of nations... a country which then installs drug-lords and torturers and the criminally corrupt on the local thrones... which enriches its private interests in the process... which has shown an inability to use its legal system to prosecute its failures in these wars, and has blocked international efforts... which seems to have created a political dynamic whereby even "peace-loving" Presidents escalate and initiate war.
In Just War terms, mirrors are a requirement.
Which brings us to the question of the other nations the US is going to war with. The Europeans and the Canadians (and similar Canuckistani slime.) For starters, we hear a lot of tripe being tossed around about the UN, and its noble processes, and how the US has to follow along. This is from those whose memories apparently fail to go back much further than 2 weeks or so. The "morality" of an act cannot be determined by a process in which one's own vote, actions and influence actually DETERMINES the outcome. And if the US wished, the whole UN vote would have gone the other way.
Second, we often hear that the US is going to war with "France," and "Italy" and "Britain" and "Canada" at its side, or at their behest. Apologies, but this is not so - and that's of real moral consequence. If Silvio Berlusconi and David Cameron and Stephen Harper and their ilk - men whom I regard as moral monsters, men who have shown already that they will support the immoral and the unsupportable, men who presently lack strong public support and who would claw to regain position - the simple fact that these men maneuver to bring forward votes behind war, does not in any way lend moral weight to the actions of the US. Shorter: those in alliance with that nice Mister Hilter are in no ay cleared of making up their own minds.
In sum, we may agree on a goal, Doc. But the idea that these 4 conditions alone enable us to say the US is entering a "Just War" is not so. In the same way, I can see no clear support for a "Just War" argument in nations such as Canada, the UK, France and Italy. Blood dripping from our hands from the recent and ongoing wars, appalling and immoral leadership, duplicity and secret double-dealings with the "enemy" in question - sorry, we're not cutting it.
And sometimes - though I rarely argue this - the lack of a clearcut case is, in fact the answer. Seen more widely than on these 4 narrow clauses, a clear case for Just War does not exist.
This sort of thing does little to increase anyone's confidence that this will be another Just War.
http://imgs.sfgate.com/blogs/images/sfgate/nov05election/2011/03/21/Afgh...
I just lost a long comment by hitting paste on my word program instead of copy. I want to kill something.
The jist of my lost comment was: Who [that matters] gives a big rat's ass whether any war ever fought meets the qualifications of being a "just war"? By "who" I do not mean who among us engaging in this intellectual circle jerk interesting conversation but rather who among any group who is influential in deciding one way or another whether to go to war. Did any leader ever decide against war because it might get a bit disproportional or did every one of them hope they would have a little shock and awe to whip out when the time came?
Oh yeah, the idea that we are not trying to kill anyone, we are only trying to protect a certain group of people by shooting down airplanes, and blowing up tanks, and bombing columns of vehicles, that idea needs some examination.
I could be for intervention and despise the leader who made the decision if I believed he made it for wrong reasons.
I am back to comment on my own comment because I just love to get hits no matter where they come from.
I read the root blog and every comment it evoked and I did so with interest. If I offended anyone by calling the discussion a circle jerk I can only offer the explanation that I was completely sober last night and that tends to affect my thinking as well as make me a little cranky. And I am often a jerk. I would be a bit more diplomatic if I really thought anyone really gave a big rat's ass.
After my comment I turned off my computer and found my copy of "Just and Unjust Wars, A Moral Argument with Historical Illustrations" by Michael Walzer. He has a chapter on humanitarian intervention which I read before jumping around and sampling some other parts. Like this conversation, I found it interesting and valuable in many ways. I would argue that any examination of the ideas and morals and [usually] crass political motives that surround and affect decisions to kill are worth having.
What I did not find in either place is how compliance with "Just War Theory" is ever applied in a constructive way by any leaders or by the populations they lead. I do not see any example of a war in my lifetime that met, by my evaluation, the criteria of being "just" according to the theory. I don't expect that I ever will. And I would ask, "So what?" And I might answer that I suppose that, to ineffectual and hopefully unaffected bystanders, an unexamined war is just no fun having.
I don't think "Just War" as a concept explicitly engages our leaders at the moment of decision.
But I do think its component pieces are definitely looked at - e.g. can we win? have we tried other methods of solving things? are we really going after something important, or someone evil? etc.
And yes, sometimes people will use these individual arguments to try and persuade/calm/dupe the public.
But somehow I'm doubting that Berlusconi and Sarkozy and such are staying up nights worrying. ;-)
Hits??? A-man says punches are okay, fuque-yous not-so-much. Have one on me!
Feel better? But hey: I think you must have forgotten Granada: the Ultimate Photo-Op. Seriously, it was named Operation Urgent Fury. (The story of a horse, and a boy who loved him...starring..) Never a jerk, Lulu; always a jerkmaid...
Sorry you were so sober; what may qualify it as a circle jerk is that we are so unlikely to change one another's minds; otherwise, we hone our own arguments. Or not.
I'll see your KA-POW, and raise you one.... KABLOOEY!
Whoops. Donno my own strength.
Goddam it, you got 'Kabloc' all over my rifle sight, just as I was honin' in on Obey's Eames chair!!!! He's in Belgium, isn't he?? Lulu made me do it!!!!! On accountta not havin' no gin!
You two should maybe tone down the violence. You're giving us anti-war types a bad rap.
Don't make me come down there and....
KABLOOEY!
Shoot; TBTF kablooeys? You must be American, not Canukistanian...er a Texan...
And anyway, Doc's gonna make you resize that sucker, er else...
Good hit. Thanks, I needed that.I gotta say though that real horses don't have fur. The only ones that do are those little defective ones that resulted from giving Canadien cops something to get around on. They call those cops Mounties for a reason.
As for being sob3er, I know how to cure that situation.
Cute. But my pony actually has more sparkles than that.
At the risk of being cynical, I think the question that most modern quasi-democratic leaders are really asking themselves isn't whether it's a "just war", but rather whether they can convince their constituents that it's a "just war". So, yeah, although the reality of whether it's just might not matter to them, the perception of whether it's just often does. As such, that doesn't render the question irrelevant, but it might color how one answers the question.
It's fascinating to me how this post ends and leaves us with the practical question of whether we can protect Libyan civilians -- a question that is pragmatic. And much of the thread turns into an exploration of the moral virtue or not of actors or speakers -- of Obama, of the U.S., of Arab states, of each other in the thread, of people at FDL.
Put another way, the post sets up a series of minima, a set of bars to clear, before you can ever have intervention. And it also asks the further and intrinsically practical question about intervention -- can it help. And then the thread wants to be only about virtue and hypocrisy, and looking back at mistakes and supposed inconsistencies.
I think that gets afield of both the post, and also how a person sitting in a room deciding whether and to what extent to intervene decides it. I like the frame of the post better.
And I thought you weren't feeling very meta…
Regardless, you made some excellent points there. I think one reason for the thread differing from the post was that there really wasn't much to object to in Dr C's post, and if we can't argue with each other, then what fun is it?
You're totally wrong, Atheist.
You misspelled "awesome".
Selective dag says you two should be very happy.
Hate to disagree again, but I will. The additional question was, IMO, more along the lines of "many of us wish the Libyans could gain some protection, but should WE protect them with a no-fly zone that has a much wider "any means necessary" expanded mandate. And Doc's contention was that Obama met every criteria of his speech in Cairo (I disagree) for a 'just war', which term was also debated.
And further, that the 'minima' you set as a standard is more fully examined by, as Q says, the requirement to look in our national mirror and history of other military ventures in order to surmise how any 'Just War' might turn out, and whether or not this really even qualifies strictly as a humanitarian mission. IMO, of course.
No one here ever answered my question of why WE felt compelled to do other than abstain on 1973 and let the other parties take care of this business they were so eager to undertake.
Tricksy Hobbit!
An explicitly moral post about "Just War" is relabelled as primarily being about... pragmatics. (Nice footwork!)
And while the bad commenters babble on about virtue and hypocrisy, and look back at mistakes and supposed inconsistencies... everyone can see practical, decisive Smeagol being... practical, decisive.
So, it's somehow practical to look at the past behaviour and present intentions of people like Gaddafi, while our own behaviour and intentions become past "mistakes" and "supposed inconsistencies."
Similarly, while it's important to look at what the people of Libya want (high ideals like democracy), we needn't focus on trinkets such as whether our own citizen representatives (in a representative democracy) get to stretch their lungs.
I do like the footwork though, the way the critics are now positioned as wanting to "explore" questions of "virtue" - while the tough-minded ones recognize that sometimes life puts us in a room and demands "decisions."
Ok, I agree. So let's be practical. Businesslike, even.
For starters, I don't want people making war-related decisions who have a record, not just in the past, but ongoing, of falling for asinine con jobs and making horrific decisions. So that rules out Gates, HRC, and a lot of others. (Unless we're running a too-big-to-fail bank here, there have to be consequences for actions. Right?) Because Iraq wasn't a "mistake," wasn't small, and wasn't all that difficult to see coming. So. If a politician was too caught up in their own fancies about having to be tough, if they were that mentally weak or emotionally twisted up, then I don't want them in the room making THIS decision.
In fact, who got it right when it came to Iraq? Why dear dear me, it was... the anti-war crowd. Imagine, that they could have saved us hundreds of billions of dollars, tens of thousands of human lives, and all that foreign policy prestige. Ew. What bad luck. Reality, coming to the rescue of such a "virtuous" lot.
And worse. This means that when I want the practical people in the room, ones with a record of making the right decisions when it comes to life and death, ones who don't let self-interest blind a clear-eyed look at things, I'm better off with those able to pronounce "virtue."
Imagine that.
Damnation; I was trying to head to that place, but once again, you said it righter than right I did. But then you had an advantage, knowing about fancy footwork and Smeagols and such. But please don't have any passion about the subject of war or not war; it just slows down the work here.
q, that was nice for you to accept w's invitation to come help out where there's nothing going on. hope you're well, i'm on a plane typing. so ok, i'll play along and fence a bit.
i suspect that you were right about iraq and that most everyone in the thread was. i know i was. no one was more against iraq than me. and as i said to obey, most post ww2 interventions were bad ideas/policy. if you need me to both denounce and reject them and reiterate my past criticisms of their enormous human costs, i will, but only for a fee. i think i've been clear enough. maybe someone picking up this thread cold would think you more exercised about iraq, for example, but you're not.
my point is that the post is mostly about what makes a war good to fight, and then it says the most important question is whether it can even work. it doesn't do much good to define a war as just and then not even be able to to help pragmatically. and all i said, heaven forfend, is that the thread cuts one way and not so much toward that last point. which, of course, is true. as much fun as it is to puff out the chest for me saying people are babbling (who knew how mean i was?) or bad commenters (wtf, but ok) that's not my point. if you took my comment as arguing that one should never discuss history, um, ok, didn't say that. i just don't think it's the best answer to the question of libya, unless your point is either that everything but a defensive war when attacked is bad, or if you're fairly reflexively against the use of us arms. hrc is the secretary of state. you can mount a process critique of her decisionmaking, but in the end, the decision is either right or wrong. there are good arguments that it's wrong, i just don't find the fact of hillary clinton being in the room among them.
bonus lowhanging outrage points for mentioning banks. :) cheers. a
Gosh, A-man; if I'm the 'w', I'd correct you just a little here: I didn't ask for help. For all I know, Quinn was cribbin' offa ME, LOL! I did think he did a more fulsome job, but then he does pay me to tout his work. Plus he had the similes and literary metaphors goin' for him...
As I said to Lulu, I don't think this thread changed anyone's minds, though some lurkers may have learned some things one way or another. But please accept my comment as a stand-alone, even though I love Quinn more than my luggage (but not as much as my automatic icecube maker).
Yes, you were against Iraq. Never said you weren't.
However, I'll stand by my view that HRC and Gates and co. were shown to have Krusty the Klownish foreign policy judgment. But yes, like the banks, you can also apparently help pump up a sub-prime quality war bubble, and not pay the piper.
It's these phrases that are problematic for me, "In the end, the decision is either right or wrong." I take it that you mean something like you said above, "Exactly. It's either right or not, not less or more so because Obama did it." That is, that the decision stands or falls, is right or wrong, separately from questions of process, and from the identity of the decision-makers.
Now, if this ISN'T what you mean to say, apologies in advance. If it IS, however, then - as I argued above - I would reply that the identity of the individuals and nations involved in a war, their recent experiences at war, the way the fight and the way they cooperate, the way they decide and the way they communicate, are very much relevant to the go/no go decision, and - again as argued above - can turn it from yes to no.
Lest you argue that this is somehow mere moralizing or wanting greater personal virtue, I would argue that real-world war-making decisions actually turn very much on precisely these issues - of intention and track record. Nations spend a great deal of time trying to determine what the other guy REALLY wants, and studying the film to see HOW he/she's gonna do it. If you know you're up against Stalin, that's different than Ike, and so on.
It was also my original complaint against the 4 criteria laid out by the post. Even a cursory inspection of the Wiki entry brings one directly to discussions of Intention. So I think some method of looking at ourselves, the nations we're in, and how we actually behave in war is a requirement, at this point in history:
- Do we hammer civilians, either directly or indirectly, by destroying "infrastructure?"
- Do we torture, or cooperate with our local allies and agents as they torture?
- Do we cut deals with warlords, drug-lords and similar thugs/tyrants after the war?
- Do we channel local riches and resources to benefit ourselves, our firms, and our friends?
Those are very real, quite pragmatic questions.
My personal view is that we're not at the Stalin end of the scale in terms of partners in war, but neither are we George Marshall (or insert sainted pragmatic individual here) anymore.
When you then add in an analysis of our allies in this game, it gets even murkier. Berlusconi is the nastiest sort of modern-media-mobster. Sarkozy is a demi-Berlusconi. David Cameron is someone I have a bit of a personal rango for, as this guy was in one of the worst groups during Thatcher, the Bullingdon Club - renowned for sexual abuse, physical destruction and the most blatant class warfare possible. He's a pig of a man, with a pleasant face. Stephen Harper up here is as nasty a piece of rightwing hatred as we've ever seen, and a man of whom it is frequently said, "There's something not quite right about him." Really.
Those are some of your allies. And all of them are in tenuous/desperate political conditions. And since they'll apparently be carrying the war on over time, this gets very relevant.
Also, their financial and corporate "wants" out of this "engagement" in Libya are being widely discussed in Europe, with some of the largest amounts of oil, available at the lowest cost, in a nation with a very very small local population. So if Muammar can just be pushed out, then no need to wreck the rest.
These things all matter in making a decision around war.
What I was replying to was the way your comment contrasted first, the pragmatics of the issue... as against the "turn" of the thread toward the "moral virtue" and "hypocrisy" and "mistakes" and "supposed inconsistencies" of the nations and leaders involved.
I am arguing is that a failure to take these things into account, a failure to include things like intentions and track record in a decision to go to war, is actually to fail to be realistic. It may appear to be more hard-headed and realistic to not talk of "moral virtue" and such, and to "move on" past those long-ago war-fighting days, what I am arguing is that it is not.
More widely, I believe this too-narrow "pragmatism" has helped undermine the liberal-left's response to wars, and historically, has led many of its intellectuals astray. Chest-puffing by the liberal intellectual on matters of war is not an unknown phenomenon.
There are a lot of comments here, so let my boil down my end-of-thread thoughts into three points:
1. If your moral position leads to lots more people being killed, you need to rethink it.
The various tests of a just war only boil down to this: since the justification for fighting such a war is that it will save lives, it has to actually save lives that could not be saved any other way. Proportionality, last-resort, and so on are just corollaries of the basic idea. If your "good war" doesn't clear these minimal hurdles, it's not good.
On the other hand, many of the objections to the Libyan interventions on moral grounds don't have anything to say about the civilian deaths that have actually been prevented. If not for the air strikes, Qaddafi's loyalists would be using tanks and planes to kill large numbers of civilian. If taking the moral high ground leads to many thousands of people being killed, it's not moral. High principles that allow bloody massacres do not impress me.
2. I believe that the test of morality is practice and not principle.
Quinn and Stardust decide halfway through the thread that my position is "pragmatic," or else that the terms of the debate had sneakily switched from morality to pragmatism. What was clarifying to me about that moment is that Quinn and Stardust view "pragmatic" and "moral" as diametrically opposed. I, to put it mildy, do not.
I believe that morality is meant to be put into practice. Thinking about morals, and working through moral positions, are preliminary steps to action, not goals in themselves. The ultimate question is, "How can we do the most good?" And that question is pragmatic: it is about achieving the good.
I am ambivalent about the intervention myself, and not sure it will end as a just military action. (I would never call a military action entirely just until it's over, because a big escalation would change the moral nature of the fight.) But my qualms are "pragmatic." I am afraid that the people it's meant to protect will not be saved, or that the military action will escalate until it is as dangerous to the Libyan people as Qaddafi is. But those questions are about how many people live or die. I don't view other questions of purely abstract morality as moral at all.
3. "Who am I?" is never the question when lives are at stake
Quinn argues that the history and the identity of the war-making nation are key questions. That strikes me as strange. If we are talking about military occupation, then the history of the occupied and occupying nations is a very important practical question. But Quinn's argument is that a nation (or individual leader) who has done bad things in the past is disqualified from military action in an emergency.
Are lives saved by evil people not saved? Are people killed in a massacre better off because they weren't saved by a morally-compromised rescuer? Of course not. Those people are dead. If the ethnic cleansers are coming to kill everyone in your town, the important thing is that someone stops them. Who stops them does not matter.
Stalin's troops were not wrong to liberate Auschwitz. The Soviet conduct after the war was abominable, but fighting the Germans was entirely just (and self-defense). Was Stalin a monster, before World War II and after? Yes, yes, yes. Should he have been "disqualified" from driving the Germans out of Eastern Europe and freeing the remaining prisoners in the death camps? Should the prisoners in Auschwitz I have had to wait six more months, while the Germans tried to finish executing them all, for a more ideologically correct liberator?
Speaking of the Germans, they had every right to help intervene to prevent ethnic cleansing in Bosnia and Serbia, even though the Germans had once been a malevolent occupier in that very place. The Germans are allowed to stop a genocide. The idea that since the Germans once perpetrated a genocide it would be wrong for them to stop one gets things backwards.
If Haiti, God forbid, degenerated into a situation where the army was going to kill tens of thousands of civilians to put down an uprising, the United States should intervene, even though it has a long greasy history as an occupying power in Haiti.
The Italians are allowed to keep Qaddafi from killing unarmed Libyans on an industrial scale. Never mind that the Italians used to be the colonial occupier. I don't think anyone in Libya wants to be under Italian rule again, but I don't think anyone would prefer to be killed by the home team than saved by a bunch of people they have bad history with. Is Berlusconi a terrible human being? Sure. That's no reason for the population of Benghazi to get slaughtered. Is having the Italian military come by really terrible symbolism? Oh, yes. But symbolism is a luxury. Keeping civilians from being killed is an imperative.
I might have used the word 'academic' if I said 'pragmatic'.
As far as this goes, it echoes Flavius's argument: "1. If your moral position leads to lots more people being killed, you need to rethink it."
Short term, you and he undoubtedly are correct that lives will be saved; that's wonderful. It's the longterm about which we don't know, as so often foreign intervention brings civil war, which ususally brings more deaths. We know this because of Iraq and other places.
I will also ask again why the US couldn't have abstained on 1973 and allowed the other nations in whose interests it was to help the rebel forces, or who stood to benefit from the same, to help them.
America’s and Europe’s tactical actions using military and economic tools during their long hegemony in the region have played a big part in creating the situation as it now stands. Are any of the weapons Khadaffi’s army use made in Libya? It is right and good that we try to prevent slaughter in Libya and if looked at only from that perspective anyone should support it. Judged only from that perspective, bombing Libya’s army could be considered just. If the bombing is done as a tactical action in support of a larger strategy of maintaining the hegemony which we need to continue our current way of being rich and powerful enough to stay rich and powerful, then the actions are not morally pragmatic, IMO, but cynically pragmatic. If that is the case, then our leaders assertion that the bombing is for a “just” purpose and done out of the good in our hearts is oraly pragmatic as long as their bullshit is believed.
Doc.
1. Pleased that your global focus just happens to have landed, oh... precisely where the cameras happened to show up! Zooming in on the civilians cowering before the madman Gaddafi. That's awesome, the way high moral principle just happened to show up.... there. Surely, you and Articleman and others watching on American TV and seeing this massacre about to happen must be on the moral high ground here. Especially when you can wrap it up in terms like "Just War."
Coupla nagging questions though. Starting with the fact that your cameras aren't in a dozen other nations where - right now - even more civilians huddle and crazed militaries await. Maybe those nations lack the requisite madman leader who starred in made-for-tv movies back in the 80's, and ummmm, oil. Because it's not as though Gaddafi is gonna take over the Middle East, with his 6 million citizens stuck in North Africa, and we just made business and political deals with him to get rid of any nasty big-time weapons. Nope, it's basically "civilians at risk" facing Famous Madman (with oil.) That's the equation. And if you don't have those things, you're really just... Africa, aren't you?
Odd as well, that camera-placement thing. There seem to be almost none left in places like... Iraq, and Afghanistan. Where the daily death toll from the destruction just keeps on coming. And on a web-site populated by people whose party and President is right now engaged in ongoing war, deals with warlords and torturers, and run on a daily basis by the worst thieving corporations the world has to offer - all of it led in Cabinet by the worst of Reagan's old thugs (Gates) - well, you know it struck me that maybe that might enter into a Just War discussion. Seeing as how they're ongoing wars.
Present tense.
But you know what? People keep referring to them... in the past tense. As "history." So what am I to do, when Gaddafi's history (and present-day actions in his war) counts, but... ours doesn't? Shorter: If the US media, political and military leadership, democratic decision-making, courts and justice processes cannot right the ship on the wars already launched and continuing today, then how can people possibly feel it will decide rightly on this new one, and they won't be misled? How can anyone have faith that the war will be properly prosecuted? Not driven by financial considerations and poll-seeking? How can we know it will be exited sensibly?
And - the point of all this - what gives us confidence that this does not bring down more death on the Libyan people than the deaths it sought to avoid in the first place, as it has so recently done in other nations, leaving them with even greater death and misery?
It seems to me Doc, that it is your side which is operating without real-world ground beneath your feet, in this game of pragmatics. Seemingly everyone on this site, on every day, will tell me quite seriously that their national media, political decision-making and corporate structure is broken, not just in terms of its war-launching/fighting/ending capacity, but on every. single. other. issue.
So to not see even this risk - of ongoing death and suffering beyond the lives saved it this moment - to not weigh that in, is to be unpragmatic, unrealistic.
In sum - and to toss your bomblet phrase back in your own lap - high principles, political parties and Presidential leaders who permit the continued operation of massive ongoing wars do not impress me either, Doc. "If your moral position protects those who killed lots of people, and sustains their ongoing suffering, you need to rethink it."
2. Here, you have the right point - but the wrong people. It was your friend Articleman who set up the morality vs. pragmatics opposition, in his own inimitable style. (Scroll up and see his entry of the 24th at 1:49 pm.) It was he who opposed "the practical question" and the "pragmatic" against a thread that "turns into an exploration of the moral virtue or not of actors or speakers"; and again, the "practical question about intervention" as opposed to a thread "about virtue and hypocrisy, and looking back at mistakes and supposed inconsistencies."
For myself, I was arguing that Articleman doesn't know pragmatics from a hole in the snow, since he seemed happy to exile questions not only about one of the actor's intentions, but more importantly, any evidence from wars they had recently fought and even were fighting today.
You and he believe yourselves to be wrapped in pragmatics, your boots firm on the high ground of Just War, and yet are unwilling to consider any possible implications of the present-day wars being fought by your very country. This strikes me as remarkable. As though the American political equation has just put out its other (Democratic) eye.
Pragmatics requires a clear sense of what one's own country is doing - that's relevant, not high moral talk. It also requires looking at one's own leaders. Seriously, we're at this same site that I've had to fight through fierce defences of Obama for putting Gates in charge (when I predicted - based on his decades of work - he would, come rain or shine, manage to preside over the continuance of war-making.) Same with McChrystal, who was elbow deep in torture when he was hired, but then people are shocked that somehow we're not only in the murk in Afghanistan, but also... that he was psycho. But somehow, the fact that I would look at our people, our leaders, their character and the actions which flow from it, is irrelevant... but we are to fear and tremble at the name Muammar?
I have no problem at all with being pragmatic. I just believe you and Articleman and some others have no idea what "pragmatic" includes.
And if I may be irritable for one moment (ha!), when you do step in to sum up, please try to at least get the sides right in the argument. My argument was that the very questions Articleman was opposing to pragmatics (and thus marginalizing), these questions of so-called "moral virtue" and "historic accident" --- are actually central to pragmatic, war-making, decision-making. But if you're seeking the man who opposed those two sets of questions, search the Dag masthead. Ta.
3. "Who am I?" is absolutely a question when lives are at stake. But I'm quite astonished that you stepped explicitly into the example of Stalin's liberation of Eastern Europe. [And BTW, yes, I'm glad they liberated Auschwitz, and fought the Nazis. Really.] But the evidence is also extremely clear that he and his troops and local allies hauled away not just a few hundred or a few thousand people to camps and eventual death, but... millions. And it was exactly this which made the people at risk maneuver so frantically to be in the right place for liberation, to support some troop movement and not others. Who... matters.
The root difficulty between us strikes me as being that you and some others have zoomed in so tightly on the citizens facing Gaddafi that the larger or longer picture is seen as being (quite harshly) both "not moral" as well as "not practical." Seriously, read these concluding sentences from your last comment:
- High principles that allow bloody massacres do not impress me.
- I don't view other questions of purely abstract morality as moral at all.
- But symbolism is a luxury. Keeping civilians from being killed is an imperative.
That's fairly harsh stuff, when what is being requested is their inclusion within the bounds of what is felt to be "pragmatic."
So, how about we bring it down a notch and look briefly at an example, of how what you and Articleman have labelled as symbolism, abstract morality and high principle come into practical play?
--- Zoom in. You guys want to talk about avoiding a massacre. Great. But. Something - some thing - will happen after they've been saved. So, let's imagine it triggers an extended civil war. By preserving the rebels, but without being willing to put boots on the ground, this is not just possible, but a real probability. And see, the no boots on the ground thing? Putting that into the equation requires knowing one's own nation, how far it is overextended, what public opinion will support. i.e. It's not about Gaddafi, it's about us, and what we're willing to do.
Am I moving too fast?
If so, do let me know, because we have to act, fast, and if we act so as to balance the two sides and thus create an extended civil war, we could easily be in the realm of not just thousands dead, but tens of thousands. More.
So if this happens, should I pose these deaths back to you and Articleman?
What's that? Another example? Ok, how about the Italians?
So, is Italy's history, position and leadership merely just irrelevant symbolism? Ummm, #1, they used to be the colonial occupier, #2, they are just miles away across the water, #3, Gaddafi is a man with a record of bringing the terror/war home to his enemies' shores, and #4, Italy's leader is a fascist with a huge media network, presently facing jailtime.
Not much that could go wrong there, pragmatically, now is there? And note, again this is all about these irrelevant factors - about Italy's history, make-up, location and leadership.
Roll the film. What happens if Gaddafi tries to save himself by turning this into a larger conflagration, by, for instance, sending teams across the water into any of 1001 Italian ports and blowing the shit out of them. After al, damned hard to stop those little light boats across the water, eh?
Oh my, and there's France - so close-by as well!
And bang boom, we're into a whole new level of the War on Terror, with a whole new wave of Axes of Evil, and places we need to be concerned about and fight in, and then, oh yeah... oil price hikes big enough to drive the price of food through the roof globally, and knock us all deeper into recession, and that means people starve and riot and governments worldwide fall and generate 101 other pressures to respond to.
THESE are precisely the real-world concerns that politicians and military planners have to deal with. And they stem from having some sense of who Italy is, how they have acted, who is in charge, how they would react. The same way as a Libyan Civil War becomes a different game if we can't/won't put boots on the ground again - a factor relating to us, and who and where we are, and what our population will take.
Thus, if I may reply in kind to your comment on how unimpressed you were, let me just say that a "Just War" discussion which exiles considerations of intention, character, history, experience and even present-day war-fighting is not in danger of soaking my boots with its depth... especially when followed in the comments by the sort of tarted up tough-talking nonsense we've all come to know and love from liberal intellectual circles, but which works especially well when it's led by CNN zooming in on our brave/pragmatic/moral (and just) pilots as they save the women and children of Benghazi.
Hint: Remember Tony Blair? He talked the same. sort. of. shit.
quinn, you must have missed the part of the Doctors last comment where he said, "Class dismissed".
Oh, that's right. I'm a college teacher.
Since I am a college teacher, no lives are actually at stake in these questions.
Since I am a college teacher, the question "will civilians die or not?" is just a schoolteachery question.
Since I am a college teacher, the question of whether or not Silvio Berlusconi is a good person must be more pressing than the question of whether civilians die or not.
But I'm not in the classroom today, and the question of whether people will get killed or won't seems pretty real world to me. The question of Berlusconi's moral authority strikes me as a seminar-room question. If you strip it down to what it really means, it's just this:
Those people would be better off being killed than being protected by a guy like that.
Nuts to that, I say. Sorry if that's too academic for you.
Stardust's fear that intervention will lead to civil war also strikes me as a little, ah, academic, since there was already a civil war before the intervention.You can't start stuff that was already happening when you got there.
It's true, as you said upthread, lulu, that we face many, many problems at home. I'd certainly like to spend a lot more money on our real domestic issues. That's why I said, in the original post:
"We can't afford it," is a good reason. If that's your objection, I have no argument. Never actually offered one.
But since I'm not in a classroom today, I have only one question: how many civilians die?
Oh, that's right. I'm a college teacher.
Since I am a college teacher, no lives are actually at stake in these questions.
Did I suggest anywhere in this or any other thread that it wasn't a question of life or death that deserved due consideration?
Since I am a college teacher, the question "will civilians die or not?" is just a schoolteachery question.
Did I address anything you said with less than an honest attempt to debate it or otherwise present salient points?
Since I am a college teacher, the question of whether or not Silvio Berlusconi is a good person must be more pressing than the question of whether civilians die or not.
Did I ever say the name Silvio Berlusconi? Did I mention the specific character of any leader in any of my statements? The only reference I find to my personal feelings about leaders is in the following quote of myself where I addressed a hypothetical. "I could be for intervention and despise the leader who made the decision if I believed he made it for wrong reasons."
But I'm not in the classroom today, and the question of whether people will get killed or won't seems pretty real world to me. The question of Berlusconi's moral authority strikes me as a seminar-room question. If you strip it down to what it really means, it's just this:
Those people would be better off being killed than being protected by a guy like that.
Nuts to that, I say. Sorry if that's too academic for you.
Sorry if your pissed off knee jerk reaction causes you to lose your ability to read. .
It's true, as you said upthread, lulu, that we face many, many problems at home. I'd certainly like to spend a lot more money on our real domestic issues. That's why I said, in the original post:
I never said anything about many domestic problems up this thread.
There are various grounds on which a reasonable person could object to the Libya strikes (diplomatic reasons, military reasons, pragmatic reasons, reasons of consistency, even Constitutional reasons).
Did you see me anywhere on this thread saying that the intervention was wrong? I only asked questions about "Just War Theory" and then later made my assertion that I do not see how the theory affects reality.
"We can't afford it," is a good reason. If that's your objection, I have no argument. Never actually offered one.
But since I'm not in a classroom today, I have only one question: how many civilians die?
You got me on that on, teacher. I don't know even though I did some extra home work all on my own. I got out a text and did some reading on your subject, "Just War Theory". [Extra credit?] I hope you will read ME before you give me too harsh a grade.
You know what, LULU? I apologize for that. I was responding to your "class dismissed" line as an extension of quinn's long comment. I read you as saying amen to his comment.
And I should have addressed your earlier specific comment, up the thread, and separate your points from quinn's.
As far as the previous comment goes, I would agree that I'm only with the bombing as long as it's about stopping the current bloodshed, and not with it if (or when) it turns into a long-term effort to shore up the international status quo.
The "class dismissed" comment clearly did get under my skin, as it was intended to.
What is it about naming an individual that somehow - in your mind - magically moves the discussion from one of practicality... and over into (apparently) irrelevant personal morality?
I mean, do I really need to spell this out?
If you go to war with a monster and a mobster, then the conduct of your war changes. For instance, if Canada goes into a war led by George W Bush, are you telling me that there is absolutely no material difference than if it is led by Barack Obama? Seems to me that's the view of the most extreme Bush = Obama fanatics.
In the same way, I mentioned that all 4 Allied leaders named are in tenuous electoral positions, and thus, are looking desperately for things that will make them look leader-like, in the face of poor domestic performances. It is widely disussed in American politics how Presidents who don't have the ability to pass domestic legislation may look for foreign policy gain. I can assure you, it's the same in the 4 Allies countries.
As for Berlusconi, the Wikileaks documents show the US Government itself is highly concerned with his extraordinary personal links with Putin, who is a tyrant-mobster not just of real power, but of great canniness. Ally their seeming desire for personal wealth with great media empires, roles inside and outside NATO, and you have a recipe which makes for serious distrust.
But you - and others here - keep explicitly labelling these real-world pragmatic issues as having to do with "moral authority" (or "moral virtue") and being best discussed in seminar rooms.
At this point, I'm just going to say, that... is ludicrous.
It has nothing to do with whether he personally is a pervert and molester of teens (though that makes his "humanitarian" reasoning appear a biiiiit weaker, I must say), but has everything to do with --- how the war will be waged, how it will be continued if/as it is handed off, what the risks are of leaks and double-dealing, how much short-term political and PR concerns will over-ride actual war-fighting and citizen protection, etc.
In short, it is not whether the people in the firing line are better off being killed than protected by a guy like that... but whether more of them WILL be killed as a result of "protection" from a guy like that.
That is no seminar question, but hey - pose on.
Uh-oh, Quinn; don't look now. "Canada to lead Libyan Mission". (along with "But who leads Canadia".)
(Nice picture of your friend Harper, though.)
http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/03/25/canada_to_lead_libya_mission_but_who_leads_canada
Yeah, tell me about it. We have two of the worst assholes in Canadian politics running - psychopath Harper, and Iggy-Lurch, the ego that walks like a man. We're in hell. Minority governments are great in that they don't let anyone do too much damage, but it sure would be nice if we'd move into a stage of some sane leaders.
Yeah, but then there's No-confidence vote. Where will that get ya? Elections? Could we rent you some candidates? We are over-stuffed with them. What will you bid for a Tim Pawlenty? A Ging-rich?
I think quinn might be more interested in a Sarah Palin (like new!) instead.
I think he'd rather shut down his blogsite, shoot himself in the head, and ship his body to France.
Accepted and I will only add, for now, that I have skin too, and it was once pretty intensely invested in the game when I would have much preferred being in college. And my skin too got worn thin in a few places. I do not take any of these questions lightly and I certainly do have strong feelings about questions, the answers to which have life or death consequences, be they academic questions or otherwise.
I was a litlle bit spare on words, sorry, but I guess I would have thought you'd take my meaning. I was wrong. What I meant was that if Gadaffi is brought down, then the hard stuff starts in building a new nation, and often the factions, tribes, fight each other, equally bloody civil wars. It may not be as hard as in Iraq, which is still horrid from all our 'nation building', but even now no one is quite sure who is whom in the rebel force. Insurrection, civil war; I dunno.
But it will be interesting to see which nations participating want to exert influence, especially since there are arguably plenty of potential benefits to reap, both resources and geopolitical.