Coming February 6, 2024 . . .
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Pre-order at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
Coming February 6, 2024 . . . MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Pre-order at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
Democrats grew increasingly optimistic on Thursday that they would hold the Senate as votes were counted in Arizona and Nevada. “I think we have a very legit chance of expanding our majority from 50 to 51,” said Senator Tim Kaine, Democrat of Virginia. https://t.co/o5upgVf8Kw
— The New York Times (@nytimes) November 11, 2022
The intra-Palestinian meeting in Moscow has precedent
— Hanna Notte (@HannaNotte) February 29, 2024
Russia's hosted such meetings in the past, most recently Feb 2019
Russia has long lamented the US' "monopolization" of the peace process & tried to carve out a niche for itself: mediating among the disunited Palestinians/2
Here's what I told them: https://halginsberg.com/vote-for-jill-stein-again/
Controversial Brazil law curbing Indigenous rights comes into force https://t.co/pCoDg05irX
— Gareth Harris (@garethharr) December 28, 2023
Location: U.S. Embassy and residential compounds
Events: Heavy gunfire is occuring around the area of the U.S. Embassy and residential compounds adjacent to the Trutier area of Tabarre. All Embassy personnel have been instructed to remain indoors and shelter-in-place until further notice. All others should avoid the area.
Actions to take:
- Avoid the area;
- Avoid demonstrations and any large gatherings of people;
- Do not attempt to drive through roadblocks; and
- If you encounter a roadblock, turn around and get to a safe area.
By The Editorial Board @ Bloomberg.com, December 8, 2023
A mass expulsion of Afghan migrants could destabilize the region and fuel radicalization. The West should pressure Islamabad to change course.
All eyes on #Chad right now
Chad has two internet trunks coming into the country: One from the Red Sea via Sudan; the other from Cameroon. Not possible for the totality of the country's internet network to be shut unless done centrally. A lot of rumors swirling; few facts. https://t.co/N6bDJZ2ixO
BREAKING: Three loss prevention employees in Macy’s across the street from Philadelphia City Hall stabbed, one of them has died from stab wounds, @PhillyPolice sources tell me. Police converged on the store as the three workers were rushed to Jefferson Hospital. pic.twitter.com/4U1eKycL4W
Former US Ambassador Arrested, Charged With Working As Secret Agent For Cuba https://t.co/LDwo4ZJI1K
— HuffPost (@HuffPost) December 4, 2023
[Chapter I news is HERE, Oct. 7 til today]
You don’t get it.
— George Deek (@GeorgeDeek) December 2, 2023
It’s not about an UNRWA teacher who held an Israeli kid hostage in his house.
It’s all about how for 75 years you have destroyed the future of generations of Palestinians, including my family.
My cousins in Arab countries are still not citizens - not even the… https://t.co/nv6anubGhc
Note 'Community Notes' attached to UNWRA's statement.
Imperialism for me but not for thee?
It's wild that Venezuela is now holding a vote on whether 2/3 of Guyana actually belongs to them! Analysts suggest that Modoru may want military action to pump up his sinking popularity.
Could we have a war in South America?!?
"The people who live in Essequibo are largely… pic.twitter.com/QvMEjkkgwy
The lack of a cohesive delegation has allowed attention-seeking lawmakers to act on their own.
McCarthy: “You have [Rep. Matt] Gaetz, who belongs in jail…”
Gaetz: “Tough words from a guy who sucker punches people in the back. The only assault I committed was against Kevin’s fragile ego.”https://t.co/LctPuz6Pcf
By Martinn Pengelly in Washington DC for TheGuardian.com, Nov. 30
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez tells Ryan Grim life in Congress ‘completely transformed’ after Democratic leader stepped down
"Both the AU and the intl community place more weight on whether elections are held than whether they are free and fair. Sanctions/expulsions occur when there is a coup but not necessarily when elections are rigged or if an “institutional coup” occurs." https://t.co/m9dNimJP0D
— Cameron Hudson (@_hudsonc) November 28, 2023
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Comments
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/11/2022 - 5:06am
A handoff or a Hail Mary pass? Or maybe even an end-around or just a punt.
In any case, don't expect any late game surprises - for all Herschel's offense, he hasn't been able to convert in the clutch. That's what the Repubs get for running a political flea flicker against a pro.
by PeraclesPlease on Fri, 11/11/2022 - 10:20am
interesting thread -
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/11/2022 - 1:43pm
by PeraclesPlease on Fri, 11/11/2022 - 2:58pm
yes, I think he's got it right but I will add this nuance: a lot of Wisconsinites don't trust inconsistency! what pundits call 'pivoting to the center for the general', they see as lying politicians! Hence you see in their history that they have elected radicals from time to time, this is because they were honest radicals. In this case, of course, the majority wouldn't like his choice on crime, as it was really important to them, but with other radicals, they are often open to trying out their thing, and they will re-elect them if they honestly stay with that, whatever it is, even way past shelf life. Because: they're not 'phony'.
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/11/2022 - 3:57pm
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/11/2022 - 3:45pm
oooh, basically reusing a tweet from her teevee days
she may indeed end up more dangerous than Trump as she's more skilled
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/11/2022 - 5:05pm
More skilled? Early in the day for that call - after Trump's transformed American politics?
by PeraclesPlease on Fri, 11/11/2022 - 6:22pm
long discussion thread on Dem party problems in NY and opinionating on why they lost 4 seats in Congress:
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/13/2022 - 12:57am
Part of it is the NY lefty Dems despise the establishment Dems and vicey-versa -
Ousted Dem campaign chair blasts Ocasio-Cortez: ‘She had almost nothing to do’ with our wins
By Julia Shapero @ TheHill.com, Nov. 12
This is from a lefty in the NYS Assembly
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/13/2022 - 2:02am
followed so far by lots of replies by voters...
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/13/2022 - 1:08am
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/13/2022 - 2:10am
(he's a political scientist at Harvard)
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/13/2022 - 1:33pm
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/13/2022 - 1:36pm
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/13/2022 - 2:37pm
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/13/2022 - 3:11pm
by artappraiser on Mon, 11/14/2022 - 1:04pm
by artappraiser on Mon, 11/14/2022 - 9:01pm
Why the Democrats Just Lost the House
Guest op-ed by Howard Wolfson @ NYTimes.com, Nov. 16
Mr. Wolfson is a senior political adviser to former Mayor Michael Bloomberg of New York and was a deputy mayor of the city from 2010 to 2013.
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/17/2022 - 11:28am
And here's what that begat:
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/17/2022 - 11:32am
^ so you can basically thank BLM "defund" protesters (who like to chant "fuck Joe Biden" and they've now suceeded at that) and bail reform
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/17/2022 - 11:37am
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/17/2022 - 11:42am
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/17/2022 - 12:44pm
NYTimes has live updates on Pelosi stepping down:
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/17/2022 - 12:55pm
on Kansas:
(found retweeted by Yglesias)
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/17/2022 - 12:53pm
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/17/2022 - 11:46pm
Lots of interesting poli-sci stuff here, especially that extremist democratic norm violators, both those of the Trumpie right and those of the left, are waaay smaller groups than many think. Plus believers that they are dangerous exaggerate their effectiveness by a huge amount -.they are in fact so counterproductive that the reaction against them may be more dangerous than they are -
excerpt
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/18/2022 - 12:15am
there was NO 'youthquake'- that was a bullshit myth; and there were more GOP voters than Dem voters but Dem candidates somehow persuaded some to vote for them this time! (McConnell's 'lousy candidates' thing was apparently true!)
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/18/2022 - 12:33am
by artappraiser on Sun, 11/20/2022 - 11:01pm
by artappraiser on Tue, 11/22/2022 - 2:08pm
by artappraiser on Wed, 11/23/2022 - 11:40pm
ah but Mr. Yang is letting these other inconvenient facts left unsaid:
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/24/2022 - 12:30am
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/25/2022 - 4:18pm
I imagine there's a lot of hostility when small minority issues overwhelm the rights and concerns of the vast majority. I'm also pretty sure continuing to insult white males as the backdrop of every story prolly doesn't help in a land fairly well economically and power-wise dominated by white males for the foreseeable future. But hey, i may be biased... And in the end, who really cares that a bunch of dudes transitioning to gals destroy gals' sports? We told you no one was watching, and this'll make sure of it. Tho i guess JK Rawling got out of social media jail this week.
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 11/26/2022 - 6:43am
I suspect liberal Floridians who talk like she does is the reason that Florida has turned red:
Her rants are obviously not mean to convince anyone. But I suspect she even turns off part of her Democratic choir; they just don't tell her to her face.
by artappraiser on Sat, 11/26/2022 - 10:04pm
And this is how you might do it if you're trying to convince swing voters against DeSantis:
by artappraiser on Sat, 11/26/2022 - 10:21pm
by artappraiser on Sat, 11/26/2022 - 10:14pm
Meet the Voters Who Fueled New York’s Seismic Tilt Toward the G.O.P.
Republicans used doomsday-style ads to capitalize on suburban voters’ fear of crime in New York, helping to flip enough seats to capture the House.
By Nicholas Fandos @NYTimes.com, Updated Nov. 28, 2022, 8:49 a.m. ET
by artappraiser on Mon, 11/28/2022 - 6:42pm
So you're saying "take care of crime" (in NY) or "take care of combatting disinfo tsunami about crime"?
Of course we can always likely do better combatting crime, but it sounds like the (Twitter? Fox? where else?) disinfo's the real prob here. (+ education's likely more of a real prob?)
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 12/13/2022 - 6:17am
Police may want to fine-tune their anti-crime message
by PeraclesPlease on Thu, 12/15/2022 - 4:01am
Republican flips northern California congressional seat (formerly held by Barbara Lee!!!)
BY BENJAMIN JOHANSEN - @ TheHill.com, 12/02/22 10:36 PM ET
by artappraiser on Sat, 12/03/2022 - 3:53am
The yuds did not show up to vote in Texas:
by artappraiser on Tue, 12/13/2022 - 6:03am
Had a comment from a native American yesterday, noting (I seemed to confirm) that Hispanics have shifted towards Dems everywhere *except Texas & Florida*. Florida's a weird mix of different Hispanic groups & politics. Texas has Hispanics heavily invested in the economy & I guess Texas-like success - they're 60% of the construction industry, 40% have at least some college & 70% have completed high school. Why that would make them more Republican, Idunno, but our question about how Dems missed the Hispanic wave seems to have 2 curious data points of say 20-30 to screw up the analysis/mess up the conclusions. Even South Texas is heavily Democrat. Florida Cubans are heavily Republican - we knew that - as are Florida South Americans (a lot pulled out of Venezuela recently?). Florida Puerto Ricans are split evenly, which is a bit surprising, but considering it's not 1975 or 1955 anymore, I guess not so much.
Hispanic vote for party by particular demographics/category:
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 12/13/2022 - 6:23am
thanks for that
I've seen convincing arguments that it's often about being supportive of business and capitalism, and that most see Democrats as anti-business. Tho I can't give any links. That makes sense to me, certainly that's the way many Hispanics in the Bronx think. After all, many of them have a family history of coming here for the capitalism, fleeing failed socialism, they start out laboring for others just to get the money to start their own business. Less taxes and paperwork and bureaucracy = good. (Heck, a lot of them start out laboring for cash, no taxes at all.) A lot of immigrants who become citizens think like that in general! They didn't come here for big government, they came here for the capitalism. (A reminder that farm workers are often transient workers, different from citizens.)
by artappraiser on Tue, 12/13/2022 - 7:00am
I have a gut feeling that Beto isn't as effective at GOTV as people like to think, but again, no data to back it. Is he too liberal for even the typical Texas youth?
But it seems like the youth vote outside of Texas & Florida was heavily Democrat (to get back to your topic).
Not sure what the special sauce is in the Lone Star state (don't think tequila/mezcal's as popular as before, so have to find another culprit).
by PeraclesPlease on Tue, 12/13/2022 - 6:29am
yes the youth turnout was better in lots of other states, that's why this drew my attention.
by artappraiser on Tue, 12/13/2022 - 6:46am
this basically says all Dems would have to do is a little more inclusive centrism and a little more Sister Souljah'ing of lefties (to rid themselves of that branding) and they'd be going gangbusters, better than Biden's win (oh and quit bashing Fox News et.al., quit playing the divisive game - you offer the alternative to that, GET IT?)
Democrats actually did pretty well with rural and Hispanic voters
by artappraiser on Tue, 12/13/2022 - 9:54am